Texas Rangers Playoff Chances 2015-3

Beat Orioles 6-0, playoff odds up 6.1 to 54.5%
68-61   .527

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rangers 8 Athletics 7 +0.5
+0.2
Royals 1 Tigers 2 -0.1
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rangers 1 Athletics 7 -0.7
-0.2
Royals 4 Tigers 6 -0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10133-0In82180577,398
10032-1In792114
9931-2In57385222
9830-3In385572,596
9729-4In24611620,035
9628-5In1258290123,156
9527-6In5494600610,024
9426-7In23562102,480,150
9325-8100.0%021744008,480,347
9224-9100.001078102024,713,332
9123-10100.00472177061,998,009
9022-1199.90159221800135,070,817
8921-1299.60041233500257,121,364
8820-1398.100252053200429,753,002
8719-1494.300131368600632,982,002
8618-1586.10677314000823,709,023
8517-1672.002367271000948,492,467
8416-1752.401151416000967,465,849
8315-1830.9003150172000873,995,234
8214-1913.50013453291000698,722,376
8113-203.90042741235000493,549,726
8012-210.6001103237173000307,216,110
7911-220.0002143534132000167,903,497
7810-230.000317363111200080,194,526
779-240.000041835301120033,251,958
768-25Out0004183430122011,868,938
757-26Out00041735301223,611,005
746-27Out0041937319921,899
735-28Out0005244327193,982
724-29Out0110385232,674
713-30Out0323754,240
702-31Out01288421
691-32Out109030
680-33Out0298577,397
Total:54.5%0075412511531000006,965,643,820
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Rangers 8 Athletics 7 -0.4
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Rangers 1 Athletics 7 +0.5

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10133-013671910
10032-157367
9931-224437142
9830-3023482630
9729-40113842900
9628-50425482210
9527-601124438500
9426-704305015100
9325-80115482961000
9224-90053340184000
9123-10001153532143000
9022-110004193428122000
8921-1200162134289000
8820-1300172439261000
8719-14000110344932000
8618-1500021964562000
8517-1600086451391000
8416-1700025031723400000
8315-1800031113351630000
8214-1900130631321430000
8113-2004011532301430000
8012-21010041631291540000
7911-22000041529301651000
7810-23000031227311961000
779-2400002924322391000
768-250001720322711200
757-26001518332912200
746-2700041836311000
735-2800523422820
724-290193449700
713-300219581920
702-31185230910
691-327403717
680-330010343716300
Total:000001251035271396321100000000000