Houston Astros Playoff Chances 2015-3

Lost to Twins 5-7, playoff odds down 0.8 to 98.4%
72-59   .550

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Astros 11 Mariners 4 +1.4
+0.1
Giants 5 Angels 4 +0.3
Rangers 8 Athletics 7 +0.3
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Astros 7 Mariners 6 +1.0
+0.1
Giants 5 Angels 0 +0.2
Rangers 1 Athletics 7 -0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Astros finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10331-0In9640578,084
10230-1In901014,388
10129-2In82170148,206
10028-3In71290991,953
9927-4In574214,796,684
9826-5In4155417,819,289
9725-6In26659053,020,826
9624-7In1566190129,694,833
9523-8In7603300265,803,435
9422-9In3475000462,865,522
9321-10100.0%13267000692,011,254
9220-11100.001882000895,569,320
9119-12100.008911001,009,083,738
9018-13100.003951100994,447,594
8917-1499.901933400859,897,209
8816-1599.6008641000653,649,236
8715-1698.10074420200437,381,057
8614-1792.60563337000257,562,973
8513-1879.103724020100133,358,300
8412-1955.601913637700060,598,523
8311-2028.980214820300024,097,108
8210-219.92084037121008,349,385
819-222.000220422871002,508,298
808-230.20062839224000646,259
797-240.00111313617300142,327
786-25Out021333331530026,120
775-26Out03143232153003,978
764-27Out031732311340466
753-28Out221136408253
742-29Out20805
720-31Out01114148577,397
Total:98.4%115761510000000006,965,643,820
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Astros 11 Mariners 4 -0.3
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Astros 7 Mariners 6 -0.2

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10331-0425430
10230-12367100
10129-213662010
10028-35573350
9927-4242441200
9826-50254824200
9725-60124339600
9624-705305015100
9523-8011650293000
9422-9006384411100
9321-1000221472550000
9220-110083638152000
9119-12002193829101000
9018-13000625372560000
8917-14001102938202000
8816-15000213363980000
8715-16000421492411000
8614-1700074144341000
8513-180002225531071000
8412-190008482152151000
8311-2000227112332051000
8210-2100100527341951000
819-220201112933196100
808-23002112732206100
797-240002102532217100
786-2502923312410200
775-26001619312712300
764-2716172829154
753-28611283817
742-29206020
720-3101103745700
Total:00291819171512601100000000000000