Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances 2015-3 50/50

Lost to Mets 4-5, playoff odds down 0.3 to 0.3%
60-70   .462

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Red Sox 2 Yankees 4 -3.3
-0.3
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Red Sox 5 Yankees 8 -2.9
-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9232-0In1080730176,865
9131-1In9771422
9030-2In35921171276
8929-3In036253632,484
8828-499.3%0162350101018,192
8727-595.70515502640101,774
8626-684.01635421410453,444
8525-761.2021643317001,681,931
8424-833.10052844212005,243,825
8323-911.90011138391110013,965,548
8222-102.5002194328710032,084,124
8121-110.3005273923610064,131,214
8020-120.000192836215100112,197,253
7919-130.0001102835205100172,550,501
7818-140.0000210283520500234,153,496
7717-15Out00021130361830280,933,728
7616-16Out0002133437131298,483,893
7515-17Out00031942324280,915,850
7414-18Out0007324913234,146,682
7313-19Out002175428172,542,373
7212-20Out00074746112,213,533
7111-21Out002346464,130,631
7010-22Out01217832,078,120
699-23Out00128813,968,230
688-24Out06945,245,516
677-25Out03971,681,439
666-26Out199452,111
655-27Out0100101,115
644-28Out010018,089
60-63Out100179,641*
Total:0.3%000001246912151920112,133,851,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Red Sox 2 Yankees 4 +0.7
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Red Sox 5 Yankees 8 +0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9232-001156120300
9131-155552755
9030-23283722710
8929-3010283322710
8828-402112531228110
8727-500292332237410
8626-60017213321114100
8525-700016223218155100
8424-80017261527195100
8323-900111623322061000
8222-100021825332182000
8121-110000182331241020000
8020-120000161929261441000
7919-130000141427291861000
7818-140000031024312282000
7717-15000028213226101000
7616-1600001621352791000
7515-170001623382561000
7414-180001828391940000
7313-190002123434153000
7212-200003183430122000
7111-21000620332811200
7010-22000172134261010
699-23001722352681
688-2400182537245
677-25000210304117
666-260002154439
655-270053263
644-28011881
633-290891
622-30298
611-31100
600-320100
Total:0000000000001234579111315138521000