Tampa Bay Rays Playoff Chances 2015-3 50/50

Beat Royals 3-2, playoff odds up 0.8 to 6.4%
64-66   .492

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orioles 4 Rays 0 -3.3
-0.3
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orioles 4 Rays 2 -3.2
-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Rays finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9632-0In435700176,865
9531-1In297121
9430-2In1882256
9329-3In11851302,502
9228-4In58348017,872
9127-5100.0%27371800101,617
9026-6100.0153123320453,137
8925-799.803014487001,678,984
8824-898.6013115520105,241,606
8723-993.3037463860013,968,386
8622-1079.101227491920032,090,411
8521-1154.901114336900064,148,946
8420-1228.60032645233000112,188,763
8319-1310.2000103740121000172,542,529
8218-142.300219442871000234,144,555
8117-150.300062939215000280,930,751
8016-160.0001113136183000298,443,232
7915-170.0002133234153000280,967,878
7814-180.0000314333314300234,130,292
7713-19Out00031634321420172,552,190
7612-20Out0004173532111112,194,976
7511-21Out0005214029464,138,987
7410-22Out001831481332,095,592
739-23Out00216542913,964,774
728-24Out000646485,243,853
717-25Out00233651,680,592
706-26Out002179454,072
695-27Out01189100,555
684-28Out69418,016
673-29Out3972,546
662-30Out199263
651-31Out10016
640-32Out0100176,865
Total:6.4%0001510151615131075312,133,851,900
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Orioles 4 Rays 0 +0.7
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Orioles 4 Rays 2 +0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9632-0431461900
9531-1195724
9430-27395120
9329-3225631010
9228-40126321300
9127-5044835112000
9026-60125392581000
8925-7008263322810000
8824-802924312391100
8723-9002821312486100
8622-1000016193121155100
8521-11000151929211861000
8420-12000162215302061000
8319-13000195233321610000
8218-1400021825332281000
8117-150000182332241020000
8016-160000171930261330000
7915-170000151628291651000
7814-180000031225302071000
7713-1900002923322491000
7612-2000001721332791000
7511-210001621372861000
7410-22000172542214000
739-23000193536153000
728-24000217353012200
717-25000520342711200
706-2600172133261020
695-2701722342691
684-280182436265
673-29019284121
662-301164241
651-31131969
640-32011782
Total:0000000123258101011109875421000000