"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Tampa Bay Rays Playoff Chances 2015-3

Beat Royals 3-2, playoff odds up 0.1 to 1.9%
64-66   .492

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orioles 4 Rays 0 -2.8
-0.2
Royals 1 Tigers 2 -0.4
Indians 4 Blue Jays 11 -0.3
Rangers 8 Athletics 7 +0.2
Giants 5 Angels 4 +0.2
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orioles 4 Rays 2 -2.6
-0.2
Royals 4 Tigers 6 -0.3
Rangers 1 Athletics 7 -0.2
Indians 10 Blue Jays 7 +0.2
Giants 5 Angels 0 +0.2
Twins 13 White Sox 3 *-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Rays finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9632-0In118711577,397
9531-1In50502
9430-2In67231932
9329-3In16010280346
9228-4In038134913,346
9127-5100.0%01912645024,108
9026-699.807871140138,805
8925-798.6023643010654,817
8824-894.3014647602,597,758
8723-984.200265815108,748,672
8622-1067.10012552940025,297,685
8521-1145.400441431100063,344,994
8420-1224.8001244825200138,173,991
8319-1310.3001040419100263,867,045
8218-143.003244822400442,524,823
8117-150.5019393713100653,238,508
8016-160.10022141287000849,962,148
7915-170.00072840223000975,232,280
7814-180.0001113439131000986,196,753
7713-19Out0021641319100877,801,078
7612-20Out0004233925710686,025,070
7511-21Out000726372360469,212,486
7410-22Out001102937203279,480,697
739-23Out00213343813144,138,457
728-24Out00319463163,827,029
717-25Out0007395424,003,199
706-26Out00225737,560,749
695-27Out0013871,956,479
684-28Out0694405,023
673-29Out029864,694
662-30Out1997,384
651-31Out0100547
640-32Out0100577,418
Total:1.9%000026131618181285316,965,643,820
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Orioles 4 Rays 0 +0.5
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Orioles 4 Rays 2 +0.5

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9632-0033458400
9531-1100
9430-23164734
9329-3443351530
9228-4120382811200
9127-506233426102000
9026-601822332510100
8925-700182234267100
8824-800182439224100
8723-900019334196100
8622-100002164911156100
8521-11000540823194000
8420-120012442133162000
8319-1300101113332101000
8218-140030320392681000
8117-150101626362371000
8016-1600001927342271000
7915-17000021026342161000
7814-18000021026352151000
7713-190002102835205100
7612-200002102834195100
7511-210002112834205000
7410-220002112935193000
739-23000213333713100
728-2400031843325000
717-25000053047162000
706-260011444328100
695-270042742225000
684-280110333616300
673-29021635321320
662-3004193629101
651-31052637266
640-320018284221
Total:00000000020148101213141296421000000