Baltimore Orioles Playoff Chances 2015-3 50/50

Lost to Rangers 0-6, playoff odds down 2.4 to 3.3%

63-67 .485

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Orioles 4 Rays 0	+2.8		+0.3

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Orioles 4 Rays 2	+3.1		+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Orioles finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

95	32	-	0	In		64	36	0	0												176,866
94	31	-	1	In		65	35														17
93	30	-	2	In		32	66	2	0												244
92	29	-	3	In		18	70	6	6	0											2,511
91	28	-	4	In		7	67	13	13	0											17,988
90	27	-	5	100.0	%	2	51	19	27	1	0										100,406
89	26	-	6	99.8		0	29	22	43	5	0	0									454,020
88	25	-	7	98.7		0	12	18	53	16	1	0									1,677,979
87	24	-	8	93.7		0	3	10	47	34	6	0	0								5,241,150
86	23	-	9	79.9		0	0	4	29	47	18	2	0	0							13,961,773
85	22	-	10	55.7		0	0	1	12	43	35	9	0	0	0						32,094,846
84	21	-	11	28.9			0	0	3	26	45	23	3	0	0						64,143,395
83	20	-	12	10.1			0	0	0	10	36	40	12	1	0	0					112,191,389
82	19	-	13	2.2				0	0	2	18	42	29	8	1	0	0				172,562,138
81	18	-	14	0.2					0	0	5	27	39	23	5	0	0	0			234,144,441
80	17	-	15	0.0					0	0	1	9	30	37	19	4	0	0	0		280,935,075
79	16	-	16	0.0						0	0	2	12	31	36	16	3	0	0	0	298,461,012
78	15	-	17	0.0						0	0	0	2	13	34	34	14	3	0	0	280,924,565
77	14	-	18	Out							0	0	0	3	16	35	32	12	2	0	234,123,362
76	13	-	19	Out								0	0	0	4	19	37	30	9	0	172,581,681
75	12	-	20	Out									0	0	1	6	24	41	26	3	112,195,315
74	11	-	21	Out									0	0	0	1	10	34	44	11	64,139,225
73	10	-	22	Out										0	0	0	3	19	52	26	32,083,554
72	9	-	23	Out											0	0	0	8	47	45	13,965,909
71	8	-	24	Out												0	0	2	34	63	5,239,425
70	7	-	25	Out												0	0	1	21	78	1,681,935
69	6	-	26	Out													0	0	12	88	452,902
68	5	-	27	Out														0	6	94	101,227
67	4	-	28	Out														0	3	97	18,057
66	3	-	29	Out															1	99	2,369
65	2	-	30	Out															0	100	245
64	1	-	31	Out																100	14
63	0	-	32	Out															0	100	176,865

Total:				3.3	%	0	0	0	1	3	6	11	13	15	15	13	10	8	5	1	2,133,851,900

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Orioles 4 Rays 0	-0.7

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Orioles 4 Rays 2	-0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

95	32	-	0	2	34	47	17	1	0
94	31	-	1		24	59	18
93	30	-	2		7	38	44	11
92	29	-	3		2	20	52	22	4	0	0
91	28	-	4		0	7	42	35	13	3	0	0
90	27	-	5		0	1	22	36	27	11	2	0	0	0
89	26	-	6		0	0	7	22	32	25	11	2	0	0	0
88	25	-	7			0	1	7	20	30	26	12	2	1	0	0
87	24	-	8			0	0	1	6	17	30	28	11	5	1	0	0
86	23	-	9				0	0	1	4	16	32	27	14	5	1	0	0	0
85	22	-	10				0	0	0	0	4	17	34	20	17	6	1	0	0	0
84	21	-	11					0	0	0	0	4	24	15	28	20	7	1	0	0	0
83	20	-	12							0	0	1	10	5	22	32	22	7	1	0	0	0
82	19	-	13								0	0	2	1	8	24	33	22	8	2	0	0	0	0
81	18	-	14								0	0	0	0	1	8	23	32	23	10	2	0	0	0	0
80	17	-	15									0	0	0	0	1	8	21	30	25	12	3	0	0	0	0
79	16	-	16										0	0	0	0	1	6	18	29	27	14	4	0	0	0	0
78	15	-	17										0		0	0	0	1	5	15	29	29	16	5	1	0	0	0
77	14	-	18													0	0	0	0	3	13	28	31	18	5	1	0	0	0
76	13	-	19														0	0	0	0	3	12	27	33	20	5	0	0	0	0
75	12	-	20																0	0	0	2	11	28	35	19	4	0	0	0	0
74	11	-	21																0	0	0	0	2	12	31	36	15	3	0	0	0
73	10	-	22																		0	0	0	3	15	36	31	12	2	0	0	0
72	9	-	23																			0	0	0	4	22	35	27	10	2	0	0	0
71	8	-	24																				0	0	1	8	24	34	24	8	1	0	0
70	7	-	25																					0	0	2	10	26	33	22	7	1	0
69	6	-	26																						0	0	3	12	27	33	20	5	0
68	5	-	27																							0	0	3	13	29	33	18	3
67	4	-	28																							0	0	0	4	16	34	35	11
66	3	-	29																									0	1	5	23	44	27
65	2	-	30																											2	9	40	50
64	1	-	31																													21	79
63	0	-	32																											0	1	14	85

Total:				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	3	5	8	9	10	11	11	10	9	7	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0