Toronto Blue Jays Playoff Chances 2015-3

Beat Tigers 9-2, playoff odds up 0.007 to 99.97%
74-56   .569

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Indians 4 Blue Jays 11 +2.7
+0.3
Royals 1 Tigers 2 -0.3
Giants 5 Angels 4 +0.2
Rangers 8 Athletics 7 +0.2
Twins 5 White Sox 3 -0.1
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Indians 10 Blue Jays 7 -2.5
-0.2
Royals 4 Tigers 6 -0.4
Giants 5 Angels 0 +0.2
Rangers 1 Athletics 7 -0.2
Twins 13 White Sox 3 -0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Blue Jays finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10632-0In1000581,071
10531-1In99166,559
10430-2In982595,486
10329-3In96403,447,045
10228-4In919014,406,950
10127-5In83170046,388,733
10026-6In722800119,705,693
9925-7In584200254,291,786
9824-8In4456000453,153,961
9723-9In3069100687,348,782
9622-10In1879210896,612,066
9521-11In10826201,014,255,670
9420-12In57712601,001,198,698
9319-13100.0%265201400866,519,266
9218-14100.0047262600659,780,737
9117-15100.0028294200443,033,712
9016-16100.00142659100262,776,965
8915-17100.0051972300137,717,541
8814-1899.802127880063,760,409
8713-1999.0006751810026,041,348
8612-2095.402613240009,366,952
8511-2185.1014144131002,957,566
8410-2264.000214328710815,103
839-2335.707293921400195,216
828-2412.71113135173040,847
817-252.20213333415307,075
806-260.20214333515101,034
795-27Out316393292133
784-28Out6112256618
773-29Out1001
740-32Out0052641234577,397
Total:100.0%15611113000000000006,965,643,820
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Indians 4 Blue Jays 11 -0.6
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Indians 10 Blue Jays 7 +0.5

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10632-085150
10531-170300
10430-2554410
10329-3395840
10228-42467900
10127-512671910
10026-655833400
9925-7243441100
9824-80275023000
9723-90144638100
9622-100635545000
9521-11022162141000
9420-120010572850000
9319-1300339391530000
9218-1401193829112000
9117-150062435259100
9016-1600192535236000
8915-17002112837201000
8814-1800314374240000
8713-1900042360121000
8612-200019592722100
8511-210024341374100
8410-22002242213164000
839-23072911228185100
828-24111052431206100
817-250218233223910
806-260161931271231
795-2714173231132
784-2864433611
773-29100
740-320005244125500
Total:07203717953100000000000000000