Chicago White Sox Playoff Chances 2015-3

Beat Mariners 6-5, playoff odds up 0.0008 to 0.2%

61-68 .473

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Twins 5 White Sox 3	-0.4		-0.2
Royals 1 Tigers 2	-0.1

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Twins 13 White Sox 3	-0.3		-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the White Sox finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

94		33	-	0	In		14	15	1	70	0											577,397
92	-93				In					100												6	*
91		30	-	3	In		1	1		89	9											100
90		29	-	4	99.9	%	0	1	1	75	23	0										887
89		28	-	5	99.2		0	0	1	62	37	1										6,985
88		27	-	6	95.9			0	0	43	52	4	0									43,190
87		26	-	7	88.5			0	0	26	62	11	0	0								222,051
86		25	-	8	74.8			0	0	13	62	24	1	0								952,057
85		24	-	9	55.3			0	0	5	50	40	5	0	0	0						3,478,447
84		23	-	10	33.5			0	0	1	32	50	15	1	0	0						10,949,852
83		22	-	11	15.4				0	0	15	47	31	6	0	0	0					29,947,760
82		21	-	12	4.9				0	0	5	31	43	18	3	0	0	0				71,604,637
81		20	-	13	0.9				0	0	1	13	38	34	12	2	0	0				150,376,634
80		19	-	14	0.1					0	0	3	20	38	29	9	1	0	0			278,423,826
79		18	-	15	0.0					0	0	0	6	24	38	25	6	0	0	0		455,479,970
78		17	-	16	0.0						0	0	1	9	28	39	20	3	0	0	0	659,743,152
77		16	-	17	Out							0	0	1	11	34	39	13	2	0	0	846,528,205
76		15	-	18	Out							0	0	0	2	16	41	31	9	1	0	962,304,068
75		14	-	19	Out								0	0	0	4	24	39	26	7	1	968,248,616
74		13	-	20	Out									0	0	0	8	28	38	21	4	860,932,582
73		12	-	21	Out										0	0	2	12	34	38	14	674,604,181
72		11	-	22	Out										0	0	0	3	19	44	33	464,295,076
71		10	-	23	Out											0	0	1	7	36	56	279,156,110
70		9	-	24	Out												0	0	2	22	76	145,788,387
69		8	-	25	Out												0	0	0	11	89	65,544,415
68		7	-	26	Out													0	0	4	96	25,106,981
67		6	-	27	Out														0	1	99	8,072,184
66		5	-	28	Out														0	0	100	2,139,220
65		4	-	29	Out															0	100	455,423
64		3	-	30	Out															0	100	74,442
63		2	-	31	Out															0	100	8,873
61	-62				Out																100	578,106	*

Total:					0.2	%	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	5	8	13	17	16	15	12	9	6,965,643,820

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Twins 5 White Sox 3	+0.4

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Twins 13 White Sox 3	+0.3

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

94	33	-	0	0	1	12	38	37	10	1	0	0
93	32	-	1						100
92	31	-	2					40	60
91	30	-	3			1	2	19	34	32	10	2
90	29	-	4				0	3	18	34	31	12	2	0
89	28	-	5					1	6	21	34	30	8	1	0	0
88	27	-	6					0	1	7	24	41	23	3	1	0
87	26	-	7					0	0	1	10	35	42	6	4	1	0
86	25	-	8						0	0	2	20	53	8	12	5	0	0
85	24	-	9						0	0	0	8	47	6	20	16	2	0	0
84	23	-	10							0	0	2	32	3	21	32	10	1	0	0
83	22	-	11								0	0	15	1	13	38	26	6	1	0	0	0
82	21	-	12								0	0	5	0	4	26	38	21	6	1	0	0	0
81	20	-	13									0	1	0	1	9	29	34	19	6	1	0	0	0
80	19	-	14									0	0	0	0	2	11	28	32	20	7	1	0	0	0
79	18	-	15										0	0	0	0	2	11	25	32	21	7	1	0	0	0
78	17	-	16										0		0	0	0	2	9	24	33	23	8	1	0	0	0
77	16	-	17													0	0	0	1	8	24	35	24	6	1	0	0	0
76	15	-	18														0	0	0	1	8	25	38	22	6	1	0	0
75	14	-	19														0	0	0	0	1	8	28	36	20	5	0	0	0
74	13	-	20																0	0	0	1	11	31	36	18	3	0	0	0
73	12	-	21																	0	0	0	2	14	35	35	12	1	0	0	0
72	11	-	22																		0	0	0	4	21	43	29	3	0	0	0
71	10	-	23																			0	0	1	7	33	46	12	1	0	0	0
70	9	-	24																			0	0	0	2	16	49	27	5	0	0	0
69	8	-	25																				0	0	0	5	35	40	17	3	0	0	0
68	7	-	26																					0	0	1	16	38	31	12	2	0	0
67	6	-	27																						0	0	5	22	37	26	9	1	0
66	5	-	28																							0	1	8	25	36	23	7	1
65	4	-	29																								0	1	10	29	36	20	4
64	3	-	30																								0	0	2	14	34	36	13
63	2	-	31																									0	0	4	21	43	31
62	1	-	32																											1	8	37	54
61	0	-	33																										0	0	2	21	77

Total:				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	6	9	12	15	14	13	11	7	2	0	0	0	0	0