Minnesota Twins Playoff Chances 2015-3

Beat Astros 7-5, playoff odds up 2.8 to 30.1%
67-63   .515

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Twins 5 White Sox 3 +1.4
+0.2
Rangers 8 Athletics 7 +0.2
Giants 5 Angels 4 +0.2
Indians 4 Blue Jays 11 -0.2
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Twins 13 White Sox 3 +1.5
+0.2
Giants 5 Angels 0 +0.2
Royals 4 Tigers 6 -0.2
Indians 10 Blue Jays 7 +0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Twins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9932-0In8668577,397
9831-1In6592623
9730-2In491437394
9629-3In291805304,335
9528-4In1416070133,859
9427-5In5110813203,747
9326-6100.0%1608480979,538
9225-7100.0020791703,868,065
9124-899.90106831012,795,201
9023-999.600053460036,023,646
8922-1098.400038602087,012,390
8821-1194.90002471500181,961,234
8720-1287.500013741200331,452,965
8619-1375.30066924000528,507,960
8518-1458.400256392000739,929,435
8417-1539.100138538000911,914,836
8316-1621.20002156202000990,532,966
8215-178.50084635101000948,817,442
8114-182.20022642246000801,103,962
8013-190.30093138193000595,431,884
7912-200.002133436142000388,659,012
7811-210.0002153733111000222,055,929
7710-22Out0031838309100110,532,309
769-23Out000420382781047,646,875
758-24Out00052438257117,631,096
747-25Out001827392245,548,337
736-26Out001123539131,461,392
725-27Out003204631317,566
714-28Out018395254,612
703-29Out0227717,328
692-30Out11683641
681-31Out49646
670-32Out0397577,398
Total:30.1%00032732171063110006,965,643,820
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Twins 5 White Sox 3 -0.4
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Twins 13 White Sox 3 -0.4

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9932-03662830
9831-1483913
9730-22544265
9629-301036391510
9528-43194131500
9427-507294516300
9326-601134132112000
9225-70032437258100
9124-800192634227100
9023-9002112733215000
8922-100003122936181000
8821-1100031538384100
8720-1200005255765100
8619-13000111637125000
8518-140004556201510000
8417-15001383213160000
8316-1600021115421830000
8215-170080737331220000
8114-180202193628112000
8013-1900006213327112000
7912-20000016193228123000
7811-21000151731291430000
7710-220003142931174000
769-230003122834185100
758-240002112835195000
747-25000211313617300
736-260021436351110
725-27004214328400
714-2801833421420
703-2902174428810
692-300529392260
681-3193335222
670-320021433331530
Total:000000014242920149642110000000000