Kansas City Royals Playoff Chances 2015-3 50/50

Lost to Rays 2-3, playoff odds down 0.003 to 99.99%
80-49   .620

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Royals 1 Tigers 2 -3.4
-0.3
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Royals 4 Tigers 6 -3.5
-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
107-112In100298,298*
10626-6In1000452,528
10525-7In10001,680,769
10424-8In10005,242,752
10323-9In100013,962,341
10222-10In100032,098,164
10121-11In1000064,134,541
10020-12In10000112,183,937
9919-13In100000172,565,825
9818-14In100000234,146,702
9717-15In99100280,914,377
9616-16In97300298,459,835
9515-17In928000280,898,017
9414-18In8416000234,138,521
9313-19In7128100172,565,687
9212-20In5343300112,213,353
9111-21100.0%3456910064,158,424
9010-22100.017612020032,101,429
899-23100.06533641013,962,201
888-2499.82365175005,243,187
877-2598.6018589131001,678,917
866-2692.70753825700454,006
855-2774.9013753221400100,455
844-2843.601812437173018,040
833-2914.6509333514302,452
822-302.312143232146262
811-31Out33254212
800-32Out0211283419510176,868
Total:100.0%87111000000000002,133,851,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs