Victoria Royals Playoff Chances 2015-2016Lost to Portland 2-4, playoff odds down 1.4 to 96.5% 28 points 13 8-2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | | Friday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy | 100.0* | Average seed | | Victoria vs Prince George | +1.0+1.0+1.0+0.1+0.1-0.9 | | +0.2+0.2+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.2 | | +0.3+0.3+0.3-0.0-0.0-0.3 | | | Vancouver vs Everett | -0.2-0.2-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1 | | | | | | | Kamloops vs Kelowna | +0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0 | | | | | | | Regina vs Prince Albert | | | -0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1 | | | | | Lethbridge vs Medicine Hat | | | +0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | | Saturday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Scotty Munro Memorial Trophy | 100.0* | Average seed | | Victoria vs Prince George | +1.0+1.0+1.0+0.1+0.1-0.9 | | +0.2+0.2+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.2 | | +0.3+0.3+0.3-0.0-0.0-0.3 | | | Everett vs Vancouver | +0.2+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2 | | | | | | | Portland vs Seattle | +0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2+0.0 | | | | | | | Tri-City vs Spokane | +0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0 | | | | | | | Kelowna vs Kamloops | -0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1 | | | | | | | Prince Albert vs Regina | | | +0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0 | | | | | Medicine Hat vs Lethbridge | | | -0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Victoria finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance in | Scotty Munro | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | Memorial Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 113 | -126 | | In | 99.8 | % | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 53,636 | * | | 112 | | 41 | 6 | - | 2 | In | 90.3 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 2,211 | * | | 111 | | 40 | 6 | - | 3 | In | 86.5 | | 100 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 4,607 | * | | 110 | | 40 | 7 | - | 2 | In | 81.5 | | 100 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 9,658 | * | | 109 | | 39 | 7 | - | 3 | In | 76.1 | | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 19,271 | * | | 108 | | 39 | 8 | - | 2 | In | 69.3 | | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 37,274 | * | | 107 | | 38 | 8 | - | 3 | In | 61.8 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 68,240 | * | | 106 | | 38 | 9 | - | 2 | In | 53.9 | | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 121,015 | * | | 105 | | 37 | 9 | - | 3 | In | 45.4 | | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 208,071 | * | | 104 | | 37 | 10 | - | 2 | In | 37.1 | | 94 | 6 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 346,812 | * | | 103 | | 36 | 10 | - | 3 | In | 29.1 | | 91 | 8 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 557,644 | * | | 102 | | 36 | 11 | - | 2 | In | 22.0 | | 88 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 871,481 | * | | 101 | | 35 | 11 | - | 3 | In | 15.7 | | 84 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 1,322,112 | * | | 100 | | 34 | 11 | - | 4 | In | 10.8 | | 78 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 1,949,926 | * | | 99 | | 34 | 12 | - | 3 | In | 6.9 | | 72 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | 2,787,977 | * | | 98 | | 33 | 12 | - | 4 | In | 4.1 | | 65 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 3,886,596 | * | | 97 | | 33 | 13 | - | 3 | In | 2.3 | | 58 | 31 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 5,261,037 | * | | 96 | | 32 | 13 | - | 4 | In | 1.1 | | 49 | 36 | 15 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 6,939,872 | * | | 95 | | 32 | 14 | - | 3 | In | 0.5 | | 41 | 39 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 8,912,085 | * | | 94 | | 31 | 14 | - | 4 | In | 0.2 | | 32 | 42 | 25 | 1 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | 11,170,018 | * | | 93 | | 31 | 15 | - | 3 | In | 0.1 | | 24 | 43 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 13,626,373 | * | | 92 | | 30 | 15 | - | 4 | In | 0.0 | | 17 | 43 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 16,220,765 | * | | 91 | | 30 | 16 | - | 3 | In | 0.0 | | 11 | 41 | 41 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 18,831,588 | * | | 90 | | 29 | 16 | - | 4 | In | 0.0 | | 7 | 37 | 44 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 21,349,995 | * | | 89 | | 29 | 17 | - | 3 | In | 0.0 | | 4 | 32 | 44 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 23,619,057 | * | | 88 | | 28 | 17 | - | 4 | In | 0.0 | | 2 | 26 | 42 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 25,530,784 | * | | 87 | | 28 | 18 | - | 3 | In | No | 1 | 20 | 37 | 25 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 26,928,703 | * | | 86 | | 27 | 18 | - | 4 | In | No | 0 | 15 | 30 | 31 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 27,773,950 | * | | 85 | | 27 | 19 | - | 3 | 100.0 | % | No | 0 | 10 | 21 | 36 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 27,967,023 | * | | 84 | | 26 | 19 | - | 4 | 100.0 | | No | 0 | 6 | 14 | 38 | 33 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | 27,544,277 | * | | 83 | | 26 | 20 | - | 3 | 100.0 | | No | 0 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 34 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | 26,478,647 | * | | 82 | | 25 | 20 | - | 4 | 100.0 | | No | 0 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 33 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | 24,920,907 | * | | 81 | | 25 | 21 | - | 3 | 100.0 | | No | 0 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 22,903,214 | * | | 80 | | 24 | 21 | - | 4 | 99.9 | | No | | 0 | 1 | 20 | 21 | 35 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 20,600,534 | * | | 79 | | 24 | 22 | - | 3 | 99.6 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 40 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | 18,102,408 | * | | 78 | | 23 | 22 | - | 4 | 98.6 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 42 | 28 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | 15,551,608 | * | | 77 | | 23 | 23 | - | 3 | 96.3 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 28 | 19 | 4 | 0 | | | 13,075,145 | * | | 76 | | 22 | 23 | - | 4 | 91.8 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 25 | 27 | 8 | 0 | | | 10,744,701 | * | | 75 | | 22 | 24 | - | 3 | 84.5 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 20 | 34 | 14 | 1 | | | 8,639,232 | * | | 74 | | 21 | 24 | - | 4 | 74.4 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 15 | 37 | 23 | 3 | | | 6,789,772 | * | | 73 | | 21 | 25 | - | 3 | 62.1 | | No | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 6 | | | 5,216,718 | * | | 72 | | 20 | 25 | - | 4 | 49.0 | | No | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 32 | 41 | 10 | | | 3,919,822 | * | | 71 | | 20 | 26 | - | 3 | 36.4 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 26 | 47 | 17 | | | 2,880,134 | * | | 70 | | 19 | 26 | - | 4 | 25.5 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 50 | 25 | | | 2,068,489 | * | | 69 | | 19 | 27 | - | 3 | 16.9 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 49 | 34 | | | 1,451,226 | * | | 68 | | 18 | 27 | - | 4 | 10.6 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 45 | 44 | | | 996,174 | * | | 67 | | 18 | 28 | - | 3 | 6.3 | | No | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 5 | 40 | 54 | | | 668,868 | * | | 66 | | 17 | 28 | - | 4 | 3.6 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 63 | | | 437,709 | * | | 65 | | 17 | 29 | - | 3 | 1.9 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 71 | | | 280,303 | * | | 64 | | 16 | 29 | - | 4 | 1.0 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 79 | | | 175,184 | * | | 63 | | 16 | 30 | - | 3 | 0.5 | | No | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 16 | 84 | | | 107,331 | * | | 62 | | 15 | 30 | - | 4 | 0.2 | | No | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 11 | 89 | | | 63,692 | * | | 61 | | 15 | 31 | - | 3 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 8 | 92 | | | 37,238 | * | | 60 | | 14 | 31 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 5 | 95 | | | 21,070 | * | | 59 | | 14 | 32 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | | | 11,535 | * | | 58 | | 13 | 32 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | 0 | | | 2 | 98 | | | 6,339 | * | | 57 | | 13 | 33 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | | | 3,251 | * | | 56 | | 12 | 33 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | | | 1,691 | * | | 55 | | 12 | 34 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | | | 848 | * | | 54 | | 12 | 35 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | | | 414 | * | | 28 | -53 | | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | 52,354 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 96.5 | % | 0.4 | % | 8 | 16 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | | | 460,128,616 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs |