Gençlerbirliği Title Chances 2015-2016Tied Gaziantep 2-2, title odds unchanged at 0.02% 13 points 3-4-6 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain | Week of 11/29 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | First League | 100.0* | Average seed | | Gençlerbirliği 2 Gaziantep 2 | | | | | +3.6 | | -0.4 | | | Sivas 2 Başakşehir 2 | | | | | -0.1 | | +0.0 | | | Bursa 1 Kayserispor 2 | | | | | +1.3 | | | | | Eskişehir 3 Mersin 2 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | | Antalya 1 Osmanlıspor 1 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Fenerbahçe vs Trabzon | | | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.2 | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | First League | 100.0* | Average seed | | Başakşehir vs Gençlerbirliği | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | +3.6-1.7-10.8 | | -0.3+0.1+1.0 | | | Gaziantep vs Fenerbahçe | | | | | +1.8*+0.0-1.1 | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | | Kayserispor vs Beşiktaş | | | | | +1.2*-0.1-0.9 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | | Akhisar vs Sivas | | | | | -0.6+0.3+1.5 | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | | Mersin vs Rize | | | | | +1.1-0.3-0.7 | | | | | Galatasaray vs Bursa | | | | | -0.5+0.3+1.2 | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | | Trabzon vs Eskişehir | | | | | -0.2*-0.0+0.9 | | | | | Osmanlıspor vs Kasımpaşa | | | | | +0.4-0.2-0.4 | | | | | Konya vs Antalya | | | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well Gençlerbirliği finishes out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | First | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFA CL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | League | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 76 | | 21 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.5 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,351 | | | 66 | | 17 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 66.7 | | Yes | 67 | 33 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3 | | | 65 | | 16 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 50.0 | | Yes | 50 | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6 | * | | 64 | | 16 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 48.4 | | 80.6 | % | 48 | 32 | 16 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 31 | * | | 63 | | 16 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 31.3 | | 83.3 | | 31 | 52 | 15 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 48 | * | | 62 | | 15 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 15.3 | | 51.4 | | 15 | 36 | 38 | 9 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 111 | * | | 61 | | 15 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 10.1 | | 39.2 | | 10 | 29 | 41 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 217 | * | | 60 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 5.1 | | 30.6 | | 5 | 25 | 37 | 26 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 428 | * | | 59 | | 14 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 3.2 | | 19.3 | | 3 | 16 | 37 | 32 | 10 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 874 | * | | 58 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.6 | | 9.2 | | 1 | 9 | 34 | 36 | 17 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,647 | * | | 57 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.3 | | 5.2 | | 0 | 5 | 23 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,860 | * | | 56 | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.1 | | 1.8 | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 36 | 35 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,195 | * | | 55 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 0.6 | | | 1 | 7 | 27 | 39 | 22 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,860 | * | | 54 | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | 0.1 | | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 38 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,439 | * | | 53 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 38 | 18 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 23,123 | * | | 52 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 39 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 35,396 | * | | 51 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 53,648 | * | | 50 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | 0 | 5 | 23 | 37 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 77,596 | * | | 49 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 110,217 | * | | 48 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 151,397 | * | | 47 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 33 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | No | 200,428 | * | | 46 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 261,359 | * | | 45 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 327,266 | * | | 44 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 30 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 400,247 | * | | 43 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 473,046 | * | | 42 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 544,681 | * | | 41 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0.2 | | 606,908 | * | | 40 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | 0.8 | | 657,540 | * | | 39 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 0 | | 2.7 | | 688,302 | * | | 38 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 37 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7.1 | | 702,474 | * | | 37 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 36 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 15.4 | | 691,409 | * | | 36 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 41 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 27.9 | | 658,704 | * | | 35 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 43.3 | | 607,669 | * | | 34 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 46 | 13 | 1 | 59.5 | | 543,512 | * | | 33 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 51 | 21 | 2 | 73.8 | | 468,224 | * | | 32 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 50 | 31 | 4 | 84.9 | | 388,428 | * | | 31 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 44 | 40 | 8 | 92.2 | | 311,105 | * | | 30 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 47 | 14 | 96.4 | | 240,263 | * | | 29 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 50 | 22 | 98.5 | | 177,610 | * | | 28 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 18 | 50 | 31 | 99.4 | | 126,122 | * | | 27 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 47 | 42 | 99.8 | | 85,326 | * | | 26 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 40 | 54 | 99.9 | | 54,969 | * | | 25 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 33 | 64 | 100.0 | | 33,954 | * | | 24 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 25 | 73 | Yes | 19,575 | * | | 23 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 18 | 82 | Yes | 10,696 | * | | 22 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 12 | 87 | Yes | 5,510 | * | | 21 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | Yes | 2,606 | * | | 20 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 95 | Yes | 1,149 | * | | 19 | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | Yes | 502 | * | | 18 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 180 | * | | 17 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 58 | * | | 13 | -16 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 1,367 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 27.2 | % | 9,778,636 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |