Beşiktaş Title Chances 2015-2016 50/50Lost to Akhisar 0-2, title odds down 7.2 to 32.7% 29 points 9-2-2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain | Week of 11/29 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | First League | 100.0* | Average seed | | Beşiktaş 0 Akhisar 2 | -8.4 | | -9.1 | | | | -0.5 | | | Kasımpaşa 2 Galatasaray 2 | +0.4 | | +0.5 | | | | | | | Sivas 2 Başakşehir 2 | +0.4 | | +0.4 | | | | | | | Rize 0 Konya 0 | +0.3 | | +0.4 | | | | | | | Antalya 1 Osmanlıspor 1 | *+0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | | | Bursa 1 Kayserispor 2 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | | Gençlerbirliği 2 Gaziantep 2 | | | +0.2 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Fenerbahçe vs Trabzon | -2.7+0.8+2.0 | | -1.5+0.5+1.1 | | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | First League | 100.0* | Average seed | | Kayserispor vs Beşiktaş | -6.7-2.0+8.3 | | -8.0-2.0+9.6 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | -0.5-0.1+0.5 | | | Gaziantep vs Fenerbahçe | +2.3+0.7-2.9 | | +1.4+0.5-1.8 | | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | | Akhisar vs Sivas | -1.6+0.4+1.3 | | -1.7+0.4+1.4 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | | Başakşehir vs Gençlerbirliği | -1.0+0.3+0.7 | | -1.2+0.4+0.9 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | | Galatasaray vs Bursa | -0.9+0.3+0.7 | | -1.2+0.4+0.8 | | | | | | | Trabzon vs Eskişehir | -0.4*+0.1+0.3 | | -0.5+0.2+0.4 | | | | | | | Mersin vs Rize | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | | +0.4+0.2-0.5 | | | | | | | Konya vs Antalya | -0.3+0.2+0.2 | | -0.5+0.3+0.3 | | | | | | | Osmanlıspor vs Kasımpaşa | | | *+0.0+0.2-0.2 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well Beşiktaş finishes out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | First | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFA CL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | League | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 76 | -92 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,933 | * | | 75 | | 14 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 99.9 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,649 | * | | 74 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,484 | * | | 73 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 99.4 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,933 | * | | 72 | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 99.4 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,519 | * | | 71 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 98.9 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,475 | * | | 70 | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 98.5 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,305 | * | | 69 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 97.4 | | 100.0 | % | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 30,868 | * | | 68 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 95.9 | | 100.0 | | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 42,693 | * | | 67 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 94.0 | | 99.9 | | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 56,486 | * | | 66 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 91.3 | | 99.9 | | 91 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 72,253 | * | | 65 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 87.5 | | 99.7 | | 88 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 89,757 | * | | 64 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 82.3 | | 99.2 | | 82 | 17 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 109,772 | * | | 63 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 75.8 | | 98.4 | | 76 | 23 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 130,193 | * | | 62 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 67.6 | | 96.7 | | 68 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 150,435 | * | | 61 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 58.0 | | 93.8 | | 58 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 168,156 | * | | 60 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 48.1 | | 89.5 | | 48 | 41 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 92,384 | | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 8 | 46.5 | | 88.3 | | 46 | 42 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 91,311 | * | | 59 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 36.1 | | 81.3 | | 36 | 45 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 196,225 | * | | 58 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 24.5 | | 69.4 | | 25 | 45 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 103,952 | | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 26.4 | | 71.8 | | 26 | 45 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 98,476 | * | | 57 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 16.7 | | 58.1 | | 17 | 41 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 105,258 | | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 9 | 15.6 | | 56.0 | | 16 | 40 | 32 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 98,038 | * | | 56 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 9.0 | | 41.6 | | 9 | 33 | 37 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 200,116 | * | | 55 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 3.7 | | 24.9 | | 4 | 21 | 37 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 92,637 | | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 4.7 | | 27.8 | | 5 | 23 | 37 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 97,862 | * | | 54 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 1.7 | | 14.2 | | 2 | 13 | 31 | 33 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 175,931 | * | | 53 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 0.5 | | 6.0 | | 0 | 6 | 21 | 34 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 159,240 | * | | 52 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 10 | 0.1 | | 1.9 | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 138,289 | * | | 51 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 0.4 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 117,351 | * | | 50 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | 0.1 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 95,652 | * | | 49 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 75,922 | * | | 48 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | No | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 58,406 | * | | 47 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 43,322 | * | | 46 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 30,994 | * | | 45 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | No | 21,432 | * | | 44 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 14,191 | * | | 43 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 0.3 | | 8,962 | * | | 42 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | | 2.0 | | 5,313 | * | | 41 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 | | 3,082 | * | | 40 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 17.7 | | 1,762 | * | | 39 | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 32 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 36.9 | | 929 | * | | 38 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 14 | 30 | 39 | 14 | 2 | 54.6 | | 425 | * | | 37 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 4 | 22 | 38 | 30 | 5 | 72.7 | | 194 | * | | 36 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 37 | 39 | 13 | 89.3 | | 84 | * | | 35 | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 32 | 36 | 29 | 96.4 | | 28 | * | | 34 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | 47 | 33 | Yes | 15 | * | | 33 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 40 | 60 | Yes | 5 | * | | 32 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 1 | | | 29 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 86 | Yes | 420 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 32.7 | % | 54.2 | % | 33 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | % | 3,045,120 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |