Beşiktaş Title Chances 2015-2016Lost to Akhisar 0-2, title odds down 14.9 to 37.5% 29 points 9-2-2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain | Week of 11/29 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | First League | 100.0* | Average seed | | Beşiktaş 0 Akhisar 2 | -12.0 | | -11.1 | | +0.1 | | -0.4 | | | Sivas 2 Başakşehir 2 | +0.4 | | +0.4 | | | | | | | Kasımpaşa 2 Galatasaray 2 | +0.3 | | +0.3 | | | | | | | Rize 0 Konya 0 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Fenerbahçe vs Trabzon | -2.5+2.2+4.2 | | -1.5+1.3+2.5 | | | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | First League | 100.0* | Average seed | | Kayserispor vs Beşiktaş | -7.7-2.7+8.2 | | -8.2-2.4+8.4 | | +0.0NoNo | | -0.3-0.1+0.3 | | | Gaziantep vs Fenerbahçe | +3.8+1.6-3.3 | | +2.4+0.9-2.0 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | Akhisar vs Sivas | -1.5+1.4+2.6 | | -1.7+1.5+3.0 | | | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | | Galatasaray vs Bursa | -0.7+0.7+1.1 | | -1.1+1.1+2.0 | | | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | | Başakşehir vs Gençlerbirliği | -0.6+0.6+1.0 | | -0.9+1.0+1.6 | | | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | | Mersin vs Rize | | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | | | | | | Osmanlıspor vs Kasımpaşa | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | | | | | | Trabzon vs Eskişehir | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | | Konya vs Antalya | | | -0.1+0.1*+0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well Beşiktaş finishes out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | First | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFA CL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | League | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 83 | -92 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,590 | * | | 82 | | 17 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,260 | * | | 81 | | 16 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 100.0 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,448 | * | | 80 | | 16 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,050 | * | | 79 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,546 | * | | 78 | | 15 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 23,017 | * | | 77 | | 15 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 99.5 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 36,309 | * | | 76 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 99.0 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 55,625 | * | | 75 | | 14 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 98.4 | | 100.0 | % | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 83,004 | * | | 74 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 97.2 | | 100.0 | | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 118,092 | * | | 73 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 95.8 | | 100.0 | | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 163,017 | * | | 72 | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 93.7 | | 99.9 | | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 218,105 | * | | 71 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 90.6 | | 99.8 | | 91 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 280,311 | * | | 70 | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 86.2 | | 99.6 | | 86 | 13 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 351,558 | * | | 69 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 80.6 | | 99.2 | | 81 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 425,090 | * | | 68 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 73.7 | | 98.2 | | 74 | 25 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 498,386 | * | | 67 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 65.5 | | 96.6 | | 65 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 565,698 | * | | 66 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 4 | 56.1 | | 93.7 | | 56 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 624,196 | * | | 65 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 45.9 | | 89.2 | | 46 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 664,887 | * | | 64 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 34.2 | | 81.4 | | 34 | 47 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 367,550 | | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 4 | 37.5 | | 83.8 | | 38 | 46 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 320,403 | * | | 63 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 26.1 | | 73.6 | | 26 | 48 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 690,961 | * | | 62 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 17.7 | | 62.4 | | 18 | 45 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 670,974 | * | | 61 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 11.0 | | 49.7 | | 11 | 39 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 630,871 | * | | 60 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 6.2 | | 36.7 | | 6 | 31 | 41 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 578,395 | * | | 59 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 3.1 | | 24.8 | | 3 | 22 | 42 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 512,090 | * | | 58 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 1.3 | | 14.9 | | 1 | 14 | 37 | 35 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 439,394 | * | | 57 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 0.5 | | 7.9 | | 0 | 7 | 30 | 40 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 365,176 | * | | 56 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 0.2 | | 3.6 | | 0 | 3 | 20 | 40 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 294,426 | * | | 55 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 1.4 | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 229,116 | * | | 54 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 0.4 | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 40 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 171,030 | * | | 53 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | 0.1 | | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 32 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 124,629 | * | | 52 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 87,870 | * | | 51 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 36 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 59,421 | * | | 50 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 35 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 38,898 | * | | 49 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 9 | No | No | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 24,373 | * | | 48 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 14,534 | * | | 47 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 29 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | No | 8,618 | * | | 46 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | No | 4,701 | * | | 45 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 32 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | | | | | No | 2,418 | * | | 44 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 1,223 | * | | 43 | | 2 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 18 | 33 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | | | | No | 606 | * | | 42 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 2 | 7 | 22 | 35 | 24 | 10 | 1 | | | | No | 246 | * | | 41 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 10 | 28 | 32 | 23 | 2 | 1 | | | 0.9 | % | 111 | * | | 40 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 19 | 33 | 29 | 12 | 2 | | | 2.4 | | 42 | * | | 39 | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | | 47 | 27 | 7 | | | 6.7 | | 15 | * | | 38 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | | | | No | 2 | | | 37 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | | | 50.0 | | 2 | * | | 35 | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | Yes | 1 | | | 29 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 12 | 49 | 39 | 99.8 | | 1,351 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 37.5 | % | 63.9 | % | 38 | 26 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 9,778,636 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |