Istanbul Başakşehir Title Chances 2015-2016Tied Sivas 2-2, title odds up 0.03 to 5.9% 23 points 7-2-4 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain | Week of 11/29 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | First League | 100.0* | Average seed | | Beşiktaş 0 Akhisar 2 | +1.1 | | +0.4 | | | | | | | Sivas 2 Başakşehir 2 | -0.8 | | -1.7 | | | | -0.1 | | | Kasımpaşa 2 Galatasaray 2 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | | | Rize 0 Konya 0 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Fenerbahçe vs Trabzon | -0.5+0.5+0.9 | | -1.1+0.9+1.8 | | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | First League | 100.0* | Average seed | | Başakşehir vs Gençlerbirliği | +1.6-1.7-2.9 | | +3.6-3.8-6.7 | | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | +0.3-0.3-0.7 | | | Kayserispor vs Beşiktaş | +0.9+0.3-1.0 | | +1.4+0.4-1.5 | | | | | | | Gaziantep vs Fenerbahçe | +0.8+0.3-0.7 | | +1.7+0.6-1.4 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | | | Akhisar vs Sivas | -0.3+0.3+0.5 | | -0.9+0.8+1.6 | | | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | | Galatasaray vs Bursa | -0.2+0.2+0.4 | | -0.6+0.6+1.1 | | | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | | Mersin vs Rize | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | | | | | | Osmanlıspor vs Kasımpaşa | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | | | | | | Trabzon vs Eskişehir | | | -0.0+0.1*+0.0 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Başakşehir finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | First | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFA CL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | League | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 78 | -86 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,834 | * | | 77 | | 17 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.2 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 602 | * | | 76 | | 17 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.1 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,214 | * | | 75 | | 16 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 97.7 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,337 | * | | 74 | | 16 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 96.4 | | 100.0 | % | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,501 | * | | 73 | | 16 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 94.5 | | 100.0 | | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,006 | * | | 72 | | 15 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 91.0 | | 99.8 | | 91 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,626 | * | | 71 | | 15 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 86.1 | | 99.5 | | 86 | 13 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,210 | * | | 70 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 80.6 | | 98.9 | | 81 | 18 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 35,740 | * | | 69 | | 14 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 73.0 | | 98.0 | | 73 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 55,210 | * | | 68 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 64.2 | | 96.0 | | 64 | 32 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 80,547 | * | | 67 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 54.4 | | 92.6 | | 54 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 114,282 | * | | 66 | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 43.5 | | 87.1 | | 44 | 44 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 157,842 | * | | 65 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 33.3 | | 79.8 | | 33 | 46 | 18 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 210,416 | * | | 64 | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 23.8 | | 70.1 | | 24 | 46 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 271,299 | * | | 63 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 15.6 | | 58.2 | | 16 | 43 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 339,663 | * | | 62 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 9.5 | | 45.8 | | 10 | 36 | 39 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 411,123 | * | | 61 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 5.3 | | 33.2 | | 5 | 28 | 42 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 483,474 | * | | 60 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 4 | 2.6 | | 22.2 | | 3 | 20 | 42 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 551,314 | * | | 59 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 1.1 | | 13.3 | | 1 | 12 | 37 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 609,016 | * | | 58 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 0.4 | | 7.2 | | 0 | 7 | 30 | 43 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 652,983 | * | | 57 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 0.1 | | 3.4 | | 0 | 3 | 21 | 44 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 677,198 | * | | 56 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 1.4 | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 40 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 682,996 | * | | 55 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 0.5 | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 43 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 671,714 | * | | 54 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 0.1 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 45 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 635,701 | * | | 53 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 40 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 585,622 | * | | 52 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 39 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 522,771 | * | | 51 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 38 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 452,487 | * | | 50 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | No | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 378,247 | * | | 49 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 7 | No | No | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 308,109 | * | | 48 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 8 | No | No | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 34 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 242,470 | * | | 47 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 184,793 | * | | 46 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 135,781 | * | | 45 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 96,541 | * | | 44 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 66,230 | * | | 43 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 43,625 | * | | 42 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 27,649 | * | | 41 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 0 | | | 0.1 | | 16,834 | * | | 40 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 34 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | 0.7 | | 9,913 | * | | 39 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 32 | 16 | 3 | 0 | | 2.9 | | 5,528 | * | | 38 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 0 | | 8.3 | | 2,979 | * | | 37 | | 2 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 12 | 32 | 36 | 16 | 1 | | 17.0 | | 1,515 | * | | 36 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 23 | 39 | 27 | 6 | | 32.9 | | 757 | * | | 35 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 11 | 33 | 42 | 11 | 1 | 53.6 | | 351 | * | | 34 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 22 | 50 | 19 | 3 | 72.8 | | 151 | * | | 33 | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 16 | 47 | 33 | | 80.0 | | 55 | * | | 32 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | 40 | 47 | | 86.7 | | 15 | * | | 31 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 22 | 44 | 33 | Yes | 9 | * | | 30 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | 50 | 25 | Yes | 4 | * | | 29 | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | Yes | 1 | | | 23 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 95 | Yes | 1,351 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 5.9 | % | 16.9 | % | 6 | 11 | 16 | 20 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 9,778,636 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |