SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier Division100.0*Level 9100.0*Average seed
Winchester City 0 Cinderford Town 0 -1.5
-1.5
-0.3
Swindon 2 North Leigh 1 +0.5
+0.5
Taunton Town 2 Burnham 2 +0.1
+0.1
Didcot Town 1 Evesham United 1 +0.1
+0.1
Shortwood United 2 Slimbridge 0 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier Division100.0*Level 9100.0*Average seed
Burnham vs Winchester City-2.2-0.5+3.5
-2.2-0.5+3.5
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.7-0.1+1.0
Winchester City vs Didcot Town+2.1-1.6-3.1
+2.1-1.6-3.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
+0.6-0.4-1.1
Wantage Town vs North Leigh+0.6+0.1-1.1
+0.6+0.1-1.1
North Leigh vs Banbury United-0.6+0.5+0.7
-0.6+0.5+0.7
Cinderford Town vs AFC Totton-0.3+0.3+0.5
-0.3+0.3+0.5
Marlow vs Swindon+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.3+0.1-0.4
Swindon vs Slimbridge-0.2+0.2+0.4
-0.2+0.2+0.4
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Taunton Town vs Cinderford Town+0.1+0.1-0.4
+0.1+0.1-0.4
Bishops Cleeve vs Shortwood United+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.2+0.1-0.3
Bashley vs Taunton Town+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Banbury United vs Bishops Cleeve-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Shortwood United vs Evesham United-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Evesham United vs Wantage Town-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Larkhall Athletic vs Mangotsfield-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Yate Town vs Tiverton Town+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Tiverton Town vs Larkhall Athletic*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Bridgwater Town vs Yate Town+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Winchester City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePremierChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleDivision12345678910111213141516171819202122Level 9Count
98-117YesYes100No57,312*
9726-4-499.9%99.9%1000No1,671*
9625-6-399.999.91000No3,053*
9525-5-499.999.91000No5,700*
9424-7-399.999.91000No10,181*
9324-6-499.899.81000No17,773*
9224-5-599.799.71000No31,156*
9123-7-499.599.51000No51,643*
9023-6-599.299.2991No83,991*
8922-8-498.998.99910No135,109*
8822-7-598.398.39820No211,257*
8722-6-697.597.59730No323,585*
8621-8-596.496.49640No484,296*
8521-7-694.994.995500No712,738*
8420-9-592.892.893700No1,026,859*
8320-8-690.090.0901000No1,447,753*
8220-7-786.486.4861300No2,004,575*
8119-9-681.981.98217100No2,717,258*
8019-8-776.476.47622200No3,615,098*
7919-7-869.769.77027300No4,719,185*
7818-9-762.062.062335000No6,034,122*
7718-8-853.353.353388100No7,573,048*
7617-10-744.244.2444212100No9,335,321*
7517-9-834.834.83545173000No11,293,171*
7417-8-925.925.92644245100No13,389,160*
7316-10-818.018.018413091000No15,601,568*
7216-9-911.411.41135351530000No17,822,468*
7116-8-106.66.6727372271000No20,004,753*
7015-10-93.33.33193429123000No22,033,706*
6915-9-101.51.511128331961000No23,821,142*
6814-11-90.50.5162032261230000No25,278,457*
6714-10-100.20.20212273120710000No26,338,331*
6614-9-110.00.001618302714410000No26,908,856*
6513-11-100.00.0002102330221020000No27,002,292*
6413-10-110.00.0001414262818710000No26,599,552*
6313-9-120.00.0000171828261451000No25,711,940*
6212-11-110.00.000002102229231131000No24,379,259*
6112-10-12NoNo0001412242820920000No22,678,891*
6012-9-13NoNo0001515262717710000No20,700,555*
5911-11-12NoNo000271827261551000No18,533,141*
5811-10-13NoNo0000292028241241000No16,278,460*
5711-9-14NoNo00013112328221030000No14,004,777*
5610-11-13NoNo000141325281972000No11,819,581*
5510-10-14NoNo000161627271651000No9,772,789*
549-12-13NoNo00028202925123000No7,921,120*
539-11-14NoNo0000311233022920000.0%6,285,237*
529-10-15NoNo000151527291751000.04,886,940*
518-12-14NoNo00027203026123000.03,718,865*
508-11-15NoNo00031125312171000.02,767,165*
498-10-16NoNo00015173129143000.22,018,562*
487-12-15NoNo0002102534227100.71,436,680*
477-11-16NoNo001517333113201.9997,758*
467-10-17NoNo00210273621404.4680,550*
456-12-16NoNo0015203729808.8450,258*
446-11-17NoNo000213333714115.6292,182*
436-10-18NoNo0017274122224.3184,804*
425-12-17NoNo004194230535.1113,177*
415-11-18NoNo002133939846.667,795*
405-10-19NoNo01834451258.039,771*
395-9-20NoNo0427501868.622,584*
384-11-19NoNo0220522677.412,355*
374-10-20NoNo0115503484.06,620*
364-9-21NoNo19484290.13,373*
353-11-20NoNo07435093.01,666*
343-10-21NoNo05385795.1821*
333-9-22NoNo3286997.4389*
322-11-21NoNo1227799.4170*
312-10-22NoNo3169Yes65*
302-9-23NoNo398897.033*
292-8-24NoNo1388Yes16*
26-28NoNo100Yes9*
150-0-34NoNo0100Yes55,686
Total:8.3%8.3%81010109877654432211100000.1%492,540,184

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:30 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)