How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier Division100.0*Average seed
Swindon 2 North Leigh 1 -5.6
-5.6
-0.3
Winchester City 0 Cinderford Town 0 +0.8
+0.8
Taunton Town 2 Burnham 2 +0.6
+0.6
Shortwood United 2 Slimbridge 0 -0.3
-0.3
Didcot Town 1 Evesham United 1 +0.2
+0.2
Bishops Cleeve 1 Tiverton Town 1 +0.2
+0.2
Wimborne Town 3 Larkhall Athletic 3 +0.1
+0.1
Banbury United 8 Bashley 0 -0.1
-0.1
Shortwood United 4 Mangotsfield 1 *-0.1
*-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier Division100.0*Average seed
North Leigh vs Banbury United+5.6-3.5-8.6
+5.6-3.5-8.6
+0.4-0.2-0.7
Wantage Town vs North Leigh-5.2-0.7+8.3
-5.2-0.7+8.3
-0.4-0.0+0.6
Cinderford Town vs AFC Totton-1.0+0.8+1.5
-1.0+0.8+1.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Marlow vs Swindon+1.0+0.3-1.4
+1.0+0.3-1.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Swindon vs Slimbridge-0.8+0.8+1.4
-0.8+0.8+1.4
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Taunton Town vs Cinderford Town+0.4+0.5-1.3
+0.4+0.5-1.3
Burnham vs Winchester City+0.6+0.2-1.0
+0.6+0.2-1.0
Bishops Cleeve vs Shortwood United+0.5+0.2-0.8
+0.5+0.2-0.8
Bashley vs Taunton Town+0.6+0.2-0.7
+0.6+0.2-0.7
Winchester City vs Didcot Town-0.5+0.5+0.6
-0.5+0.5+0.6
Banbury United vs Bishops Cleeve-0.3+0.3+0.5
-0.3+0.3+0.5
Shortwood United vs Evesham United-0.3+0.4+0.1
-0.3+0.4+0.1
Evesham United vs Wantage Town-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.2+0.2+0.3
Yate Town vs Tiverton Town+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.1+0.1-0.3
Larkhall Athletic vs Mangotsfield-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.2+0.2+0.2
Tiverton Town vs Larkhall Athletic-0.0+0.2-0.2
-0.0+0.2-0.2
Bridgwater Town vs Yate Town+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Didcot Town vs Marlow-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Slimbridge vs Burnham+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the North Leigh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePremierChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleDivision12345678910111213141516171819202122Level 9Count
106-123YesYes100No56,925*
10526-6-299.8%99.8%1000No1,255*
103-104YesYes100No7,079*
10225-6-3100.0100.01000No8,398*
10125-5-499.999.91000No14,763*
10024-7-3100.0100.01000No25,580*
9924-6-499.999.91000No43,290*
9824-5-5100.0100.01000No72,111*
9723-7-499.999.91000No116,061*
9623-6-599.999.91000No183,111*
9522-8-499.999.91000No283,778*
9422-7-599.999.91000No428,957*
9322-6-699.999.91000No635,564*
9221-8-599.999.91000No920,845*
9121-7-699.899.810000No1,306,392*
9020-9-599.799.710000No1,819,457*
8920-8-699.699.610000No2,478,789*
8820-7-799.399.39910No3,319,916*
8719-9-699.099.09910No4,350,100*
8619-8-798.498.49820No5,596,793*
8519-7-897.697.698200No7,064,590*
8418-9-796.496.496400No8,752,107*
8318-8-894.894.895500No10,634,284*
8217-10-792.492.492700No12,680,358*
8117-9-889.289.28910000No14,842,152*
8017-8-985.085.08514100No17,054,292*
7916-10-879.579.580191000No19,224,897*
7816-9-972.872.873243000No21,285,478*
7716-8-1064.764.765305000No23,141,968*
7615-10-955.555.555368100No24,690,507*
7515-9-1045.545.54540122000No25,870,959*
7414-11-935.335.33543184000No26,601,269*
7314-10-1025.525.526422571000No26,855,596*
7214-9-1117.017.01738311220000No26,623,015*
7113-11-1010.210.21031341851000No25,897,210*
7013-10-115.45.452234251020000No24,737,801*
6913-9-122.52.5214303117510000No23,191,778*
6812-11-111.01.0182231241130000No21,330,171*
6712-10-120.30.30313272918710000No19,248,839*
6612-9-130.10.10171929261441000No17,046,234*
6511-11-120.00.0002102329221030000No14,811,434*
6411-10-130.00.0001414252819720000No12,614,309*
6310-12-120.00.00001617272615510000No10,551,946*
6210-11-13NoNo000281928241341000No8,638,630*
6110-10-14NoNo00003102228221131000No6,940,266*
609-12-13NoNo0001412242820920000No5,460,023*
599-11-14NoNo0000151425271872000No4,212,612*
589-10-15NoNo000161627261661000No3,178,395*
578-12-14NoNo000281928251341000No2,349,388*
568-11-15NoNo00003102129231130000No1,700,818*
558-10-16NoNo00014122429208200No1,202,154*
547-12-15NoNo0015152728176100No833,203*
537-11-16NoNo0002719292613300No563,975*
527-10-17NoNo00031024312292000.0%372,665*
516-12-16NoNo00141528301741000.0240,237*
506-11-17NoNo0001821322610200.1151,645*
496-10-18NoNo003132833195000.492,802*
485-12-17NoNo00162034279101.155,501*
475-11-18NoNo00312303517303.132,240*
465-10-19NoNo0016243725606.418,590*
454-12-18NoNo00315363312112.310,198*
444-11-19NoNo019304018220.45,382*
434-10-20NoNo04234226430.22,825*
424-9-21NoNo02154036742.61,372*
413-11-20NoNo11135431053.0672*
403-10-21NoNo1432461763.0311*
392-12-20NoNo1327462369.4124*
382-11-21NoNo124482774.667*
372-10-22NoNo8682492.025*
362-9-23NoNo8317Yes12*
352-8-24NoNo208080.05*
341-10-23NoNo6733Yes3*
210-0-34NoNo0100Yes55,686
Total:37.2%37.2%37191296533211110000000000.0%492,540,184

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship