How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier Division100.0*Level 9100.0*Average seed
Swindon 2 North Leigh 1 +0.7
+0.7
Taunton Town 2 Burnham 2 +0.2
+0.2
Shortwood United 2 Slimbridge 0 -0.1
-0.1
Didcot Town 1 Evesham United 1 +0.1
+0.1
Wimborne Town 3 Larkhall Athletic 3 *+0.1
*+0.1
Winchester City 0 Cinderford Town 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier Division100.0*Level 9100.0*Average seed
Taunton Town vs Cinderford Town-3.2-0.3+5.8
-3.2-0.3+5.8
-0.5+0.0+0.9
Cinderford Town vs AFC Totton+3.0-2.4-4.6
+3.0-2.4-4.6
-0.0-0.0+0.1
+0.5-0.4-0.9
Wantage Town vs North Leigh+1.0+0.2-1.7
+1.0+0.2-1.7
North Leigh vs Banbury United-0.9+0.8+1.1
-0.9+0.8+1.1
Marlow vs Swindon+0.5+0.1-0.6
+0.5+0.1-0.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Swindon vs Slimbridge-0.4+0.4+0.6
-0.4+0.4+0.6
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Burnham vs Winchester City+0.3+0.1-0.5
+0.3+0.1-0.5
Bishops Cleeve vs Shortwood United+0.2+0.1-0.4
+0.2+0.1-0.4
Winchester City vs Didcot Town-0.3+0.3+0.3
-0.3+0.3+0.3
Bashley vs Taunton Town+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Banbury United vs Bishops Cleeve-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.2+0.2+0.2
Shortwood United vs Evesham United-0.1+0.2+0.1
-0.1+0.2+0.1
Evesham United vs Wantage Town-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Larkhall Athletic vs Mangotsfield-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Yate Town vs Tiverton Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Tiverton Town vs Larkhall Athletic-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.1
Bridgwater Town vs Yate Town+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Didcot Town vs Marlow-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cinderford Town finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePremierChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleDivision12345678910111213141516171819202122Level 9Count
101-119YesYes100No56,928*
10026-5-399.9%99.9%1000No1,334*
9926-4-4100.0100.01000No2,406*
9825-6-3100.0100.01000No4,565*
9725-5-499.999.91000No8,357*
9624-7-399.999.91000No14,546*
9524-6-499.999.91000No25,275*
9424-5-599.899.81000No42,744*
9323-7-499.899.81000No70,698*
9223-6-599.799.71000No113,546*
9122-8-499.599.51000No179,899*
9022-7-599.299.29910No276,689*
8922-6-698.998.99910No420,264*
8821-8-598.398.39820No621,464*
8721-7-697.597.59820No903,282*
8620-9-596.496.49640No1,283,017*
8520-8-694.994.99550No1,784,589*
8420-7-792.992.993700No2,439,911*
8319-9-690.390.3901000No3,261,158*
8219-8-786.886.8871300No4,284,015*
8119-7-882.482.48217100No5,521,317*
8018-9-777.077.07722100No6,975,935*
7918-8-870.570.57027300No8,648,960*
7817-10-762.962.963324000No10,530,603*
7717-9-854.454.454387100No12,568,775*
7617-8-945.345.34542111000No14,739,176*
7516-10-835.935.93645173000No16,951,518*
7416-9-926.926.927452350000No19,143,575*
7316-8-1018.818.819422991000No21,237,705*
7215-10-912.012.01236341430000No23,113,061*
7115-9-107.07.0728362161000No24,681,353*
7014-11-93.63.642035281130000No25,889,346*
6914-10-101.61.621229321961000No26,645,891*
6814-9-110.60.6162132261230000No26,939,601*
6713-11-100.20.20312273019710000No26,728,411*
6613-10-110.00.001618292614410000No26,026,979*
6513-9-120.00.0002102330221020000No24,866,350*
6412-11-110.00.0001414262818720000No23,321,079*
6312-10-120.00.0000171828261451000No21,455,932*
6212-9-13NoNo000292128231131000No19,367,802*
6111-11-12NoNo0001312232821920000No17,160,679*
6011-10-13NoNo0001514252718720000No14,897,381*
5911-9-14NoNo000161727261661000No12,692,132*
5810-11-13NoNo0000281928251341000No10,598,369*
5710-10-14NoNo00003102128231130000No8,673,062*
569-12-13NoNo0001412242820920000No6,952,636*
559-11-14NoNo000151526281861000No5,460,296*
549-10-15NoNo000017182826144100No4,204,279*
538-12-14NoNo000292230241020000.0%3,168,003*
528-11-15NoNo000141326301971000.02,335,513*
518-10-16NoNo000161830281440000.01,682,138*
507-12-15NoNo00002923322381000.11,188,380*
497-11-16NoNo00014153031164000.3819,655*
487-10-17NoNo000282334258100.9552,561*
476-12-16NoNo000415323315202.3362,921*
466-11-17NoNo0018253723505.2233,638*
456-10-18NoNo000418363210110.1145,906*
445-12-17NoNo0211313916117.389,544*
435-11-18NoNo016254224326.952,449*
425-10-19NoNo03184133537.830,599*
414-12-18NoNo01113841848.817,162*
404-11-19NoNo00832471259.69,335*
394-10-20NoNo0426531770.44,893*
384-9-21NoNo0219532578.52,573*
373-11-20NoNo015533285.01,225*
363-10-21NoNo11523688.7600*
353-9-22NoNo3465196.7270*
342-11-21NoNo1386299.3136*
332-10-22NoNo1277298.567*
322-9-23NoNo2476Yes29*
312-8-24NoNo148685.77*
302-7-25NoNo100Yes4*
170-0-34NoNo0100Yes55,686
Total:14.6%14.6%151513119865443221110000000.0%492,540,184

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship