San Diego Padres Playoff Chances 2015-2

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 44.9%
6-4   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cubs vs Padres-2.7+3.6
-0.2+0.3
Blue Jays vs Braves+0.2-0.3
Giants vs Diamondbacks+0.2-0.2
Pirates vs Brewers-0.1+0.1
Mets vs Marlins-0.1+0.1
Nationals vs Phillies-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Padres finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
110-157In100167,617*
109103-48In100011,577
108102-49In1000024,116
107101-50In1000047,181
106100-51In1000090,661
10599-52In10000169,609
10498-53In10000307,127
10397-54In100000541,017
10296-55In990000924,544
10195-56In9910001,537,132
10094-57In9810102,481,487
9993-58In9720103,897,757
9892-59100.0%95302005,949,459
9791-60100.092503008,827,673
9690-61100.0887050012,744,481
9589-62100.08211070017,894,560
9488-63100.0741511000024,414,420
9387-64100.0642011500032,448,570
9286-65100.05225220100041,946,717
9185-66100.04028426200052,754,304
9084-6799.927306324000064,554,354
8983-6899.5172893880000076,894,626
8882-6998.492412401410000089,108,757
8781-7095.4417143922400000100,544,724
8680-7188.511014323110100000110,401,939
8579-7275.10512223620510000118,006,608
8478-7355.202912333012200000122,790,026
8377-7432.80055223424810000124,374,431
8276-7514.8003110273219610000122,619,889
8175-764.9001031530301541000117,715,946
8074-771.301015193228123000109,982,086
7973-780.3000018223225102000100,045,922
7872-790.100000210253221710088,593,977
7771-800.00000031429311740076,368,628
7670-810.00000015183229122064,073,547
7569-820.0000000292434237152,329,048
7468-830.0000000314323315241,590,225
7367-840.00000017233726632,190,760
7266-85Out000031434361324,225,002
7165-86Out00001727422217,748,653
7064-87Out0000319443312,656,257
6963-88Out000011241458,777,800
6862-89Out0001735575,924,912
6761-90Out000428683,889,147
6660-91Out000221772,483,218
6559-92Out00116841,544,494
6458-93Out0001189930,933
6357-94Out00793547,663
6256-95Out00595312,859
6155-96Out00397173,116
6054-97Out029894,309
5953-98Out019949,024
5852-99Out19924,685
5751-100Out010012,415
5650-101Out01005,863
5549-102Out01002,726
5448-103Out01001,257
5347-104Out0100542
6-52Out100157,743*
Total:44.9%975131198776544321,898,928,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Cubs vs Padres+0.5-0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
113-157100
112106-451000
111105-461000
110104-471000
109103-481000
108102-491000
107101-501000
106100-519910
10599-529910
10498-539820
10397-549820
10296-5596400
10195-5694600
10094-5791900
9993-588713100
9892-5981181000
9791-607324300000
9690-616331500000
9589-6252371010000
9488-634041163000000
9387-6427412371000000
9286-651736301331000000
9185-668273321820000000
9084-67316292816610000000
8983-681720292413410000000
8882-69021021272212410100000
8781-700031020262111304000000
8680-710013919252010210200000
8579-7200002816231971761000000
8478-730000261420142115620000000
8377-7400001412151623178310000000
8276-7500001410617242012510000000
8175-760000141614222317831000000
8074-7700001014101924211362000000
7973-7800000002614212318104100000
7872-79000000000139172322157200000
7771-80000000000261321241911410000
7670-8100000000013918242214620000
7569-82000000001271523241783000
7468-830000000251322251910300
7367-8400000001513222620920
7266-85000000151324282081
7165-8600000016152729174
7064-87000002820322810
6963-8800000312293719
6862-89000016214131
6761-9000003143945
6660-91000183458
6559-9200042769
6458-930022078
6357-940011485
6256-9500990
6155-9600694
6054-9700496
5953-980397
5852-990199
5751-100199
5650-1010100
5549-1020100
5448-1030100
5347-1040100
6-52100
Total:455555554354444433333222221111