San Francisco Giants Playoff Chances 2015-2

Lost to Diamondbacks 6-7, playoff odds unchanged at 7.8%

3-8 .273

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Giants vs Diamondbacks	+1.1-1.3		+0.2-0.3
Blue Jays vs Braves	+0.1-0.1
Cubs vs Padres	+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Giants finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

105	-153				In		100															158,295	*
104		101	-	49	In		100			0												1,287
103		100	-	50	In		99	0		0												2,850
102		99	-	51	In		99	0		1												5,914
101		98	-	52	In		99	1		1	0											12,373
100		97	-	53	In		98	1		1												25,051
99		96	-	54	In		97	2	0	1	0											49,078
98		95	-	55	In		95	3	0	2	0											92,866
97		94	-	56	In		92	4	0	3	0											172,990
96		93	-	57	100.0	%	89	6	0	5	0	0										311,434
95		92	-	58	100.0		83	9	0	7	0	0	0									546,442
94		91	-	59	100.0		76	13	0	10	0	0	0									929,477
93		90	-	60	100.0		66	18	1	14	1	0	0									1,542,507
92		89	-	61	100.0		55	22	2	20	1	0	0									2,484,483
91		88	-	62	99.9		43	26	3	26	2	0	0	0								3,892,305
90		87	-	63	99.7		30	28	5	32	4	0	0	0								5,927,305
89		86	-	64	99.3		18	27	8	38	8	1	0	0	0	0						8,791,080
88		85	-	65	98.1		10	23	10	41	15	2	0	0	0	0	0					12,682,720
87		84	-	66	94.8		4	16	12	39	24	5	0	0	0	0	0					17,805,332
86		83	-	67	87.4		1	9	11	33	33	11	2	0	0	0	0	0				24,318,664
85		82	-	68	73.2		0	4	10	22	37	21	5	1	0	0	0	0				32,309,119
84		81	-	69	52.4		0	2	7	12	32	31	13	3	0	0	0	0	0			41,804,456
83		80	-	70	29.8		0	0	4	4	21	34	25	9	2	0	0	0	0	0		52,618,315
82		79	-	71	12.6		0	0	2	1	9	26	33	20	7	1	0	0	0	0		64,440,862
81		78	-	72	3.8		0	0	1	0	3	13	29	31	17	5	1	0	0	0		76,801,185
80		77	-	73	0.8			0	0	0	1	4	17	31	29	14	4	0	0	0		89,128,529
79		76	-	74	0.2			0	0	0	0	1	6	20	32	27	12	3	0	0	0	100,637,228
78		75	-	75	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	2	8	23	33	24	9	2	0	0	110,611,147
77		74	-	76	0.0				0	0	0	0	0	2	11	27	33	20	6	1	0	118,329,395
76		73	-	77	0.0				0	0	0	0	0	1	4	16	31	31	15	3	0	123,213,660
75		72	-	78	0.0				0	0	0	0	0	0	1	7	22	35	26	8	1	124,860,526
74		71	-	79	0.0				0		0	0	0	0	0	2	12	30	35	18	3	123,172,347
73		70	-	80	0.0				0			0	0	0	0	1	5	21	38	29	7	118,227,676
72		69	-	81	Out							0	0	0	0	0	2	12	33	38	14	110,434,647
71		68	-	82	Out								0	0	0	0	1	6	26	44	24	100,404,675
70		67	-	83	Out									0	0	0	0	3	17	45	35	88,824,373
69		66	-	84	Out										0	0	0	1	11	41	47	76,442,354
68		65	-	85	Out										0	0	0	0	6	35	59	64,023,793
67		64	-	86	Out											0	0	0	3	28	69	52,164,265
66		63	-	87	Out											0	0	0	2	21	77	41,351,673
65		62	-	88	Out											0	0	0	1	15	84	31,878,176
64		61	-	89	Out												0	0	0	11	89	23,894,219
63		60	-	90	Out												0	0	0	7	93	17,421,034
62		59	-	91	Out													0	0	5	95	12,345,447
61		58	-	92	Out												0	0	0	3	97	8,515,084
60		57	-	93	Out													0	0	2	98	5,698,315
59		56	-	94	Out														0	1	99	3,711,926
58		55	-	95	Out														0	1	99	2,350,163
57		54	-	96	Out														0	0	100	1,442,617
56		53	-	97	Out														0	0	100	862,933
55		52	-	98	Out															0	100	499,158
54		51	-	99	Out															0	100	282,191
53		50	-	100	Out															0	100	153,755
52		49	-	101	Out															0	100	81,408
51		48	-	102	Out															0	100	42,119
50		47	-	103	Out															0	100	21,006
3	-49				Out																100	175,891	*

Total:					7.8	%	1	1	1	2	3	4	5	5	6	8	9	11	13	15	17	1,898,928,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Giants vs Diamondbacks	-0.5+0.6

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

106	-153				100
105		102	-	48	98	2
104		101	-	49	99	1
103		100	-	50	98	2	0
102		99	-	51	96	4	0
101		98	-	52	94	6	0
100		97	-	53	91	9	0	0
99		96	-	54	87	12	1	0
98		95	-	55	81	17	1	0	0
97		94	-	56	74	24	3	0	0	0
96		93	-	57	64	30	5	0	0	0					0
95		92	-	58	53	37	9	1	0	0	0				0	0
94		91	-	59	41	41	15	3	0	0	0				0	0
93		90	-	60	28	41	23	6	1	0	0	0			0	0
92		89	-	61	18	37	30	12	3	0	0	0	0		0	0	0
91		88	-	62	9	28	33	20	7	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
90		87	-	63	4	17	30	28	15	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
89		86	-	64	1	8	21	29	23	12	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
88		85	-	65	0	3	10	22	27	21	10	3	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
87		84	-	66	0	1	3	11	21	26	20	10	3	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	0
86		83	-	67	0	0	1	3	10	20	24	19	9	2	10	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
85		82	-	68	0	0	0	1	3	8	17	22	17	6	18	7	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
84		81	-	69		0	0	0	0	2	6	14	19	12	23	16	7	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
83		80	-	70		0	0	0	0	0	1	4	11	13	17	24	18	8	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
82		79	-	71				0	0	0	0	1	3	8	6	17	24	21	12	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
81		78	-	72					0	0	0	0	1	3	1	6	15	23	23	17	8	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
80		77	-	73						0	0	0	0	1	0	1	4	10	19	24	21	13	6	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
79		76	-	74							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	13	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
78		75	-	75							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	15	7	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
77		74	-	76								0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	12	20	24	19	11	4	1	0	0	0	0
76		73	-	77								0	0	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	15	7	2	0	0	0	0
75		72	-	78									0	0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	14	22	24	18	9	3	1	0	0
74		71	-	79										0				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	13	22	25	20	10	3	1	0
73		70	-	80										0					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	12	22	27	21	10	3	0
72		69	-	81																		0	0	0	0	0	1	4	13	24	28	20	8	1
71		68	-	82																		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	15	27	30	17	4
70		67	-	83																				0	0	0	0	0	2	7	20	33	28	10
69		66	-	84																				0	0	0	0	0	0	3	12	29	37	19
68		65	-	85																					0	0	0	0	0	1	6	21	41	31
67		64	-	86																						0	0	0	0	0	2	14	39	45
66		63	-	87																							0	0	0	0	1	8	34	57
65		62	-	88																								0	0	0	0	4	27	69
64		61	-	89																									0	0	0	2	20	78
63		60	-	90																									0	0	0	1	14	85
62		59	-	91																										0	0	0	9	90
61		58	-	92																											0	0	6	94
60		57	-	93																											0	0	4	96
59		56	-	94																											0	0	2	98
58		55	-	95																												0	1	99
57		54	-	96																												0	1	99
56		53	-	97																												0	1	99
55		52	-	98																												0	0	100
54		51	-	99																													0	100
53		50	-	100																													0	100
52		49	-	101																													0	100
51		48	-	102																													0	100
50		47	-	103																													0	100
49		46	-	104																													0	100
48		45	-	105																													0	100
47		44	-	106																													0	100
45	-46																																	100
44		41	-	109																													1	99
3	-43																																	100

Total:					0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	7	8	9	10