Arizona Diamondbacks Playoff Chances 2015-2

Beat Giants 7-6, playoff odds unchanged at 29.5%
5-5   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Giants vs Diamondbacks-2.4+2.9
-0.3+0.3
Blue Jays vs Braves+0.2-0.2
Cubs vs Padres+0.1-0.2
Pirates vs Brewers-0.1+0.1
Mets vs Marlins-0.1+0.1
Nationals vs Phillies-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Diamondbacks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
109-156In100160,784*
108103-48In100004,100
107102-49In100008,638
106101-50In1000017,772
105100-51In1000035,421
10499-52In1000069,074
10398-53In10000130,347
10297-54In990000237,868
10196-55In991000422,936
10095-56In981010732,233
9994-57In9720101,227,102
9893-58100.0%95302002,005,279
9792-59100.092503003,182,578
9691-60100.088705004,915,182
9590-61100.0821007007,374,841
9489-62100.0741411100010,776,484
9388-63100.0641911500015,308,914
9287-64100.05324221100021,164,369
9186-6599.94027427200028,455,752
9085-6699.827296335000037,234,236
8984-6799.4172793891000047,431,037
8883-6898.182211411520000058,781,063
8782-6994.741613392450000070,885,294
8681-7087.1191232331120000083,226,630
8580-7172.9041022372151000095,124,023
8479-7252.501711323113300000105,796,883
8378-7330.30044213425920000114,568,275
8277-7413.2002110273320610000120,785,675
8176-754.2001031430311641000123,940,931
8075-761.000015183128133000123,817,214
7974-770.2000017213226102000120,414,619
7873-780.1000002102533227100113,997,801
7772-790.0000000313293218500105,077,991
7671-800.00000015183229122094,301,916
7570-810.0000000192535237182,343,240
7469-820.0000000314323315269,989,031
7368-830.00000017233726657,912,028
7267-84Out000031435361246,639,534
7166-85Out00001828422136,542,582
7065-86Out0000419443227,884,580
6964-87Out000112424520,685,292
6863-88Out00017365614,938,512
6762-89Out0004296710,497,248
6661-90Out000222767,168,954
6560-91Out00116834,763,325
6459-92Out00011883,081,948
6358-93Out008921,936,919
6257-94Out005951,183,964
6156-95Out00397700,992
6055-96Out0298406,090
5954-97Out0199227,743
5853-98Out0199124,104
5752-99Out010065,635
5651-100Out010033,637
5550-101Out010017,005
5449-102Out01008,185
5348-103Out01003,827
5247-104Out1001,813
5146-105Out0100766
5045-106Out0100351
5-49Out100157,553*
Total:29.5%4439998888776541,898,928,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Giants vs Diamondbacks+0.6-0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
113-156100
112107-44991
111106-45100
110105-461000
109104-471000
108103-481000
107102-4910000
106101-50991
105100-519910
10499-529820
10398-539820
10297-549640
10196-5594600
10095-56919000
9994-57871210
9893-58811810000
9792-59742430000
9691-606431500000
9590-6153379100000
9489-624041163000000
9388-6328412371000000
9287-641736301330000000
9186-659273321820000000
9085-66416292816510000000
8984-671720292413410010000
8883-68021021272211410200000
8782-69003102026211130500000
8681-700013919242092112000000
8580-7100002816221871871000000
8479-720000016131913221672000000
8378-7300001411141623189310000000
8277-7400000149617242112510000000
8176-750000014161422231783100000
8075-7600001014101824211362000000
7974-77000000002613212418104100000
7873-780000000139172322157200000
7772-79000000000261321241911410000
7671-8000000000013918242214620000
7570-81000000001271523241783000
7469-820000000025132225199300
7368-83000000001513222620920
7267-84000000151324282081
7166-85000000016162729174
7065-86000002820322810
6964-8700001312293719
6863-88000016224131
6762-8900003143944
6661-90000183457
6560-91000042769
6459-9200022078
6358-930011485
6257-94000990
6156-9500694
6055-9600496
5954-970298
5853-980199
5752-99199
5651-1000099
5550-1010100
5449-1020100
5348-1030100
5247-1040100
5146-1050100
5045-106199
4944-107199
5-48100
Total:223333443344444444444433333322