New York Mets Playoff Chances 2015-2 50/50

Beat Marlins 7-5, playoff odds unchanged at 46.1%
7-3   .700

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mets vs Marlins+3.2-3.2
+0.3-0.3
Blue Jays vs Braves+0.4-0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
109-158In10058,801*
108101-50In10007,028
107100-51In100013,573
10699-52In1000025,937
10598-53In1000048,144
10497-54In1000086,945
10396-55In10000153,801
10295-56In100000261,984
10194-57In10000436,239
10093-58In991000706,316
9992-59In9910001,114,055
9891-60In9820001,704,648
9790-61In9630102,542,055
9689-62In9360103,685,825
9588-63100.0%90902005,207,685
9487-64100.0841303007,153,911
9386-65100.0771814009,572,625
9285-66100.067252700012,467,841
9184-67100.05531310000015,805,992
9083-68100.04237614100019,519,923
8982-6999.9284011192000023,478,401
8881-7099.61638162450000027,497,905
8780-7198.483222271010000031,360,673
8679-7295.0322262618410000034,841,464
8578-7386.41132721251120000037,707,114
8477-7469.90624132721710000039,746,212
8376-7546.802186212918610000040,801,590
8275-7624.8001221126281651000040,795,042
8174-7710.600703142828154100039,748,262
8073-784.10301517292714400037,707,528
7972-791.602001618302713300034,844,563
7871-800.601000172031261120031,365,686
7770-810.20000002923322491027,498,480
7669-820.10000003112733206123,473,596
7568-830.00000001416313114219,522,990
7467-840.000000017233626715,807,078
7366-850.000000021333371412,466,536
7265-860.000000162443269,574,384
7164-87Out0000021643397,150,137
7063-88Out00001938535,202,671
6962-89Out0000530653,686,263
6861-90Out0000223752,541,443
6760-91Out000116831,705,246
6659-92Out00011891,113,898
6558-93Out00793707,478
6457-94Out00495437,123
6356-95Out0397262,448
6255-96Out00298153,212
6154-97Out019987,192
6053-98Out019948,346
5952-99Out010025,935
5851-100Out010013,419
5750-101Out01006,825
5649-102Out01003,444
7-55Out10055,328*
Total:46.1%111010877766655443632,011,240

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs