New York Mets Playoff Chances 2015-2

Beat Marlins 7-5, playoff odds unchanged at 60.7%
7-3   .700

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mets vs Marlins+2.5-3.7
+0.2-0.3
Blue Jays vs Braves+0.4-0.6
+0.0-0.1
Nationals vs Phillies-0.1+0.2
Giants vs Diamondbacks+0.1-0.1
Pirates vs Brewers-0.1+0.1
Cubs vs Padres+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
111-158In100178,351*
110103-48In100023,268
109102-49In1000046,399
108101-50In1000088,891
107100-51In10000166,496
10699-52In10000303,323
10598-53In10000534,126
10497-54In100000915,385
10396-55In1000001,524,770
10295-56In9910002,464,400
10194-57In9910003,878,632
10093-58In9820005,923,985
9992-59In9730008,800,385
9891-60In95501012,723,366
9790-61In92701017,857,723
9689-62100.0%8711010024,402,339
9588-63100.08116020032,445,021
9487-64100.074221400041,952,071
9386-65100.064282500052,746,405
9285-66100.0533548000064,571,580
9184-67100.04041711100076,901,967
9083-6899.9284412151000089,159,466
8982-6999.81743181930000100,586,081
8881-7099.19372422710000110,431,341
8780-7197.2428302313300000118,040,628
8679-7292.21183221207100000122,795,843
8578-7381.7010311625144000000124,378,350
8477-7464.504279242310200000122,634,747
8376-7543.201214172820710000117,688,078
8275-7624.1001419242917510000109,948,274
8174-7711.600803132828154100099,992,296
8073-785.20501517302712300088,557,136
7972-792.302001721322510200076,319,538
7871-800.901000210253222710064,056,261
7770-810.300000031328321851052,331,713
7669-820.10000015173229133041,601,827
7568-830.0000000182334248132,193,785
7467-840.0000000313313416324,249,158
7366-850.00000016223727717,777,604
7265-860.00000021333371412,680,238
7164-870.000000162643248,805,900
7063-88Out000031744365,951,035
6962-89Out000011140483,910,558
6861-90Out0001634602,499,540
6760-91Out0000327701,553,283
6659-92Out00022078939,210
6558-93Out0011485552,692
6457-94Out0001089316,143
6356-95Out00793176,452
6255-96Out0059595,338
6154-97Out0039749,860
6053-98Out029825,625
5952-99Out019912,615
5851-100Out01996,126
5750-101Out01002,856
5649-102Out01001,339
5548-103Out0100557
7-54Out100157,744*
Total:60.7%1515149877654432111,898,928,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Mets vs Marlins-0.4+0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
115-158100
114107-441000
113106-451000
112105-461000
111104-471000
110103-481000
109102-491000
108101-501000
107100-5110000
10699-529910
10598-5399100
10497-549820
10396-559820
10295-5696400
10194-57946000
10093-58919000
9992-598713100
9891-6081181000
9790-6173243000
9689-626331500000
9588-63523710100000
9487-6439411630000000
9386-65274124710000000
9285-6617363013300000000
9184-679273321820000000
9083-68416302816510000000
8982-691720292413410000000
8881-70021021272212410100000
8780-710031021262111303000000
8679-7200131019252111261000000
8578-7300002817242181251000000
8477-7400000261623171612510000000
8376-750000151522131915721000000
8275-760000151851521181141000000
8174-7700001101513202216831000000
8073-780000501391723211362000000
7972-79000020002613212318104100000
7871-8000010000138172322157210000
7770-81000000000251220241911410000
7669-820000000013917232215720000
7568-83000000000261422241893100
7467-8400000000151322252010310
7366-85000000014122227211030
7265-860000000141223282181
7164-8700000015152730184
7063-88000002720322910
6962-8900000311283720
6861-90000016214132
6760-9100002133945
6659-92000183358
6558-9300042669
6457-940022078
6356-950011485
6255-96000990
6154-9700694
6053-980496
5952-990298
5851-1000298
5750-101199
5649-102199
5548-1030100
7-54100
Total:777766655544333332222211111100