"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Miami Marlins Playoff Chances 2015-2

Lost to Mets 5-7, playoff odds unchanged at 14%
3-7   .300

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mets vs Marlins-1.6+2.3
-0.2+0.3
Blue Jays vs Braves+0.2-0.3
Nationals vs Phillies-0.1+0.1
Giants vs Diamondbacks+0.1-0.1
Pirates vs Brewers-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Marlins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
106-154In100159,327*
105102-49In100002,664
104101-50In100005,577
103100-51In1000011,484
10299-52In9910023,115
10198-53In991045,157
10097-54In98200086,985
9996-55In963010162,006
9895-56In954010291,837
9794-57100.0%9260200512,744
9693-58100.087100300877,249
9592-59100.0821404001,454,164
9491-60100.07419160002,349,019
9390-61100.06425290003,691,422
9289-62100.0533031310005,639,477
9188-6399.9403551810008,383,289
9087-6499.828389233000012,121,243
8986-6599.51736132860000017,060,479
8885-6698.49311731111000023,355,511
8784-6795.642221301840000031,126,021
8683-6888.8114222626920000040,369,916
8582-6975.8072018311851000050,950,443
8481-7056.203161028281330000062,595,426
8380-7134.201114183124920000074,848,168
8279-7216.40071824312071000087,110,541
8178-736.400403132830175100098,709,008
8077-742.202014163029143000108,881,432
7976-750.8010016203226112000116,895,786
7875-760.300000292433238100122,193,263
7774-770.1000000312283219510124,334,679
7673-780.000000141732301430123,161,799
7572-790.00000001723352581118,773,820
7471-800.00000003133134173111,485,440
7370-810.000000162237277101,849,136
7269-820.000000021334371490,575,819
7168-830.0000001726432378,412,010
7067-84Out00000318443566,053,512
6966-85Out0000111414754,140,120
6865-86Out00006355943,196,946
6764-87Out0003286933,526,672
6663-88Out0002217725,325,058
6562-89Out0001158418,603,366
6461-90Out000108913,295,973
6360-91Out0007939,244,009
6259-92Out0005956,248,728
6158-93Out003974,105,200
6057-94Out002982,622,903
5956-95Out01991,629,153
5855-96Out0199983,649
5754-97Out00100578,082
5653-98Out00100329,915
5552-99Out0100183,007
5451-100Out010097,577
5350-101Out010051,330
5249-102Out010026,202
5148-103Out010012,817
3-50Out100168,445*
Total:14.0%12334567889101111111,898,928,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Mets vs Marlins+0.5-0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
109-154100
108105-461000
107104-471000
106103-481000
105102-49991
104101-50982
103100-51973
10299-529640
10198-539460
10097-5491900
9996-558613100
9895-568118100
9794-5773243000
9693-58633150000
9592-5952371010000
9491-604041163000000
9390-6127412371000000
9289-6217363013310000000
9188-639273321820000000
9087-64416292816510000000
8986-651720292413410000000
8885-6602102127221141010000
8784-670031020262111304000000
8683-680013919252010292000000
8582-69000028172319716610000000
8481-700000261420142015620000000
8380-710000141217152217831000000
8279-720000141261623201251000000
8178-730000161514222317831000000
8077-7400002013101823211362000000
7976-750000100026132123191041000000
7875-7600000000139172322157210000
7774-770000000002512202419114100000
7673-7800000000013917242215720000
7572-79000000000271523241893100
7471-8000000000151322252010300
7370-810000000015122227211020
7269-820000000151324282081
7168-83000000015152729174
7067-840000002720332810
6966-85000000312293719
6865-860000016214131
6764-87000002143944
6663-880000183457
6562-89000042769
6461-9000022078
6360-9100011485
6259-92000990
6158-93000694
6057-9400496
5956-950298
5855-960199
5754-970199
5653-980199
5552-990100
5451-10000100
5350-1010100
5249-1020100
5148-1030100
5047-1040100
4946-1050100
4845-1060100
4744-1070100
4643-1080100
3-45100
Total:011112222223333344444555556666