Atlanta Braves Playoff Chances 2015-2

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 50.7%
6-3   .667

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blue Jays vs Braves-2.5+3.3
-0.2+0.3
Mets vs Marlins-0.2+0.3
Nationals vs Phillies-0.1+0.2
Giants vs Diamondbacks+0.1-0.1
Pirates vs Brewers-0.1+0.1
Cubs vs Padres+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Braves finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
110-158In100173,790*
109103-49In1000018,004
108102-50In100036,190
107101-51In1000070,414
106100-52In10000131,864
10599-53In10000241,873
10498-54In10000429,648
10397-55In100000739,912
10296-56In991001,246,121
10195-57In991002,032,641
10094-58In9820003,221,606
9993-59In9630104,973,476
9892-60In9450107,453,615
9791-61In91701010,877,569
9690-62100.0%8711020015,442,521
9589-63100.08115040021,317,910
9488-64100.073211500028,639,860
9387-65100.063272800037,431,606
9286-66100.0513441100047,618,412
9185-67100.039397151000058,943,235
9084-6899.92741111920000071,038,729
8983-6999.71640162340000083,321,007
8882-7098.9834222681000095,120,497
8781-7196.7425262715300000105,727,966
8680-7291.2116282322810000114,428,118
8579-7379.90827172716400000120,537,402
8478-7461.9042310262511200000123,626,496
8377-7540.4011741829218100000123,490,819
8276-7621.6001119243018510000120,059,023
8175-779.8007031428291541000113,651,201
8074-784.103015183127123000104,779,644
7973-791.702001721322510200094,024,933
7872-800.701000210253222710082,159,825
7771-810.200000031328321851069,909,641
7670-820.10000015183229132057,888,314
7569-830.000000182434247146,679,735
7468-840.0000000313313416336,636,014
7367-850.00000016223727727,989,938
7266-860.000000021334371420,815,247
7165-870.0000001726432415,076,149
7064-880.000000318443510,616,490
6963-89Out00011140487,276,720
6862-90Out0000634604,851,912
6761-91Out0000327703,150,695
6660-92Out000220781,987,054
6559-93Out00114851,220,238
6458-94Out0001090728,596
6357-95Out000793424,211
6256-96Out00495239,890
6155-97Out0397131,412
6054-98Out029870,684
5953-99Out019936,357
5852-100Out019918,586
5751-101Out01009,098
5650-102Out01004,321
5549-103Out01001,975
5448-104Out0100928
6-53Out100157,988*
Total:50.7%1011119887765543211,898,928,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Blue Jays vs Braves+0.5-0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
114-158100
113107-451000
112106-461000
111105-471000
110104-481000
109103-491000
108102-501000
107101-511000
106100-529910
10599-539910
10498-549820
10397-559820
10296-5696400
10195-5794600
10094-58919000
9993-5986131000
9892-608018100
9791-61732430000
9690-626331500000
9589-63513710100000
9488-6439411630000000
9387-6527412471000000
9286-661636311331000000
9185-6782733228200000000
9084-683162928166100000000
8983-691720292413410000000
8882-70021021272212410100000
8781-71003102026211130300000
8680-720013919252111271000000
8579-7300002817242081451000000
8478-740000261523161813510000000
8377-7500000151420142015721000000
8276-76000001516615221911410000000
8175-770000191513212216831000000
8074-78000004013101823211362000000
7973-790000200026132123181041000000
7872-8000010000139172322157210000
7771-81000000000251320241911410000
7670-820000000013917232215720000
7569-8300000001271523241893100
7468-840000000251322252010300
7367-85000000015122227211030
7266-860000000151324282081
7165-8700000015152729174
7064-880000002720322810
6963-8900000312283720
6862-9000016214132
6761-9100002133945
6660-92000183358
6559-93000042669
6458-940021979
6357-950011485
6256-9600990
6155-9700694
6054-9800496
5953-990298
5852-1000199
5751-101199
5650-1020100
5549-1030100
5448-1040100
5347-1050100
6-52100
Total:455555555544444333332222211111