Cincinnati Reds Playoff Chances 2015-2 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 37%
5-4   .556

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cardinals vs Reds-3.1+3.1
-0.3+0.3
Cubs vs Padres-0.2+0.2
Blue Jays vs Braves+0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Reds finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
110-157In10053,317*
109104-48In10001,179
107-108In1007,616*
106101-51In100010,327
105100-52In1000019,815
10499-53In1000037,325
10398-54In1000067,684
10297-55In100000120,087
10196-56In99000209,112
10095-57In99100348,649
9994-58In981000571,611
9893-59In972000910,711
9792-60In9640101,409,467
9691-61In9360102,123,928
9590-62100.0%89902003,116,938
9489-63100.0841303004,445,628
9388-64100.07619140006,176,692
9287-65100.06625260008,359,516
9186-66100.05432410000011,017,793
9085-67100.041387141000014,136,837
8984-6899.9284111182000017,659,660
8883-6999.51639172350000021,503,524
8782-7098.483223261010000025,494,357
8681-7194.9322272518510000029,421,976
8580-7286.11122820251120000033,100,780
8479-7369.60524132721810000036,284,149
8378-7446.602185212818610000038,728,621
8277-7524.7001221025281651000040,275,119
8176-7610.600703142828154100040,808,675
8075-774.204015162927144100040,281,111
7974-781.702001618302713300038,722,418
7873-790.601000172031261120036,269,224
7772-800.20000002923322491033,093,483
7671-810.10000003112733206129,432,317
7570-820.0000001416313114225,488,315
7469-830.000000017233626721,496,998
7368-840.000000021333371417,662,521
7267-850.0000001624432614,133,963
7166-860.000000216433911,013,825
7065-87Out0001938528,368,867
6964-88Out0000530656,180,512
6863-89Out000223754,440,805
6762-90Out000116833,114,644
6661-91Out000011892,123,685
6560-92Out007931,410,142
6459-93Out00496909,288
6358-94Out00397572,972
6257-95Out0298349,380
6156-96Out0199207,791
6055-97Out0199120,928
5954-98Out010067,932
5853-99Out010036,942
5752-100Out010019,833
5651-101Out010010,088
5-55Out10062,163*
Total:37.0%789677777766665632,011,240

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs