Pittsburgh Pirates Playoff Chances 2015-2

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 23.8%
3-6   .333

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pirates vs Brewers+1.9-2.8
+0.2-0.4
Cubs vs Padres-0.1+0.2
Blue Jays vs Braves+0.1-0.2
Giants vs Diamondbacks+0.1-0.1
Cardinals vs Reds-0.1+0.1
Nationals vs Phillies-0.0+0.1
Mets vs Marlins-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
108-155In100159,746*
107104-48In100003,039
106103-49In10006,486
105102-50In1000013,290
104101-51In10000026,865
103100-52In1000052,362
10299-53In9910099,834
10198-54In99100184,823
10097-55In98200331,953
9996-56In963000579,012
9895-57In945010982,408
9794-58100.0%91801001,621,539
9693-59100.0871102002,601,322
9592-60100.0811612004,061,875
9491-61100.0732214006,172,521
9390-62100.06328260009,115,210
9289-63100.0523549000013,099,740
9188-64100.039408131000018,311,676
9087-6599.9274212172000024,930,317
8986-6699.61640172240000033,001,486
8885-6798.78332325910000042,526,785
8784-6896.232427261630000053,339,935
8683-6990.0115282323810000065,108,192
8582-7077.7082616281751000077,346,531
8481-7158.70321926261230000089,488,649
8380-7236.901154183023920000100,775,427
8279-7318.700918243119610000110,483,606
8178-747.9005031328301651000117,941,264
8077-753.103014173028143000122,573,537
7976-761.2010017203226112000124,015,070
7875-770.400000292433238100122,177,666
7774-780.1000000313283218510117,170,367
7673-790.000000151732291320109,421,396
7572-800.0000000182435247199,442,591
7471-810.0000000314313416288,038,417
7370-820.00000016233726675,876,251
7269-830.000000031434361363,637,587
7168-840.0000001727432251,970,070
7067-85Out0000319443341,292,398
6966-86Out0000112414531,958,184
6865-87Out00017355724,043,972
6764-88Out00004286817,622,006
6663-89Out0002217712,569,903
6562-90Out000115848,716,407
6461-91Out00011895,884,077
6360-92Out0007933,861,472
6259-93Out005952,463,977
6158-94Out003971,531,466
6057-95Out00298923,633
5956-96Out00199543,480
5855-97Out0199309,507
5754-98Out00100171,664
5653-99Out010093,030
5552-100Out010048,501
5451-101Out010025,038
5350-102Out010012,265
5249-103Out01006,022
3-51Out100162,273*
Total:23.8%3574667888988761,898,928,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Pirates vs Brewers-0.5+0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
110-155100
109106-461000
108105-471000
107104-481000
106103-49991
105102-50991
104101-519910
103100-529820
10299-539640
10198-5494600
10097-5591900
9996-56871310
9895-5781181000
9794-58732430000
9693-596331500000
9592-6052371010000
9491-613941163000000
9390-6227412471000000
9289-631636301331000000
9188-648263322820000000
9087-65316292816610000000
8986-661720282513510000000
8885-670292127221241010000
8784-68003102026221141300000
8683-690013919252111382000000
8582-7000002716232081561000000
8481-7100000161422161914620000000
8380-7200000141318142116831000000
8279-7300000141461522201251000000
8178-740000171513212317831000000
8077-75000003013918232113620000000
7976-76000010002613212318104100000
7875-7700000000139172322157210000
7774-780000000002513212419114100000
7673-7900000000013918242214620000
7572-80000000001271523241783000
7471-810000000026132225199300
7370-8200000001513232620920
7269-830000000151324281971
7168-84000000016162829164
7067-85000002821322710
6966-86000001312293619
6865-87000016224031
6764-88000003143944
6663-890000183457
6562-90000042769
6461-9100022078
6360-920011485
6259-93000990
6158-9400694
6057-9500496
5956-9600298
5855-970199
5754-980199
5653-9900100
5552-1000100
5451-1010100
5350-1020100
5249-1030100
5148-1040100
47-50100
4643-109298
3-45100
Total:112223333433444444444444444433