Chicago Cubs Playoff Chances 2015-2

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 41.8%
5-3   .625

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cubs vs Padres+2.7-3.5
+0.3-0.3
Pirates vs Brewers-0.2+0.2
Blue Jays vs Braves+0.1-0.2
Giants vs Diamondbacks+0.1-0.1
Cardinals vs Reds-0.1+0.1
Mets vs Marlins-0.1+0.1
Nationals vs Phillies-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
110-157In100162,913*
109104-48In100006,679
108103-49In1000013,824
107102-50In1000027,984
106101-51In1000054,629
105100-52In10000103,190
10499-53In10000190,718
10398-54In99100344,325
10297-55In991000598,710
10196-56In9810001,016,556
10095-57In9820001,676,037
9994-58In9640002,688,085
9893-59In9460104,184,965
9792-60In9180106,345,983
9691-61100.0%861201009,361,891
9590-62100.08017120013,424,622
9489-63100.07223140018,743,743
9388-64100.062303600025,460,689
9287-65100.0513658000033,623,246
9186-66100.038418121000043,256,285
9085-6799.9264313162000054,138,967
8984-6899.71641192040000065,940,882
8883-6998.9835252381000078,208,669
8782-7096.632529241430000090,288,319
8681-7191.01163121228100000101,475,441
8580-7279.50829152616410000111,032,965
8479-7361.403249252511200000118,255,603
8378-7440.001184172922810000122,672,695
8277-7521.4001218243018610000123,885,586
8176-769.707031328291541000121,782,934
8075-774.1030151731271330000116,618,818
7974-781.7020017213225102000108,712,796
7873-790.601000210253222710098,668,192
7772-800.200000031329321851087,203,525
7671-810.100000015183229132074,999,014
7570-820.0000000182434247162,836,033
7469-830.0000000314313316351,246,617
7368-840.00000016223727640,674,992
7267-850.00000021334371331,436,151
7166-860.0000001726432323,639,707
7065-87Out0000318443517,308,559
6964-88Out000111404712,326,884
6863-89Out0001634598,546,271
6762-90Out0000327705,770,121
6661-91Out000220783,788,919
6560-92Out00114852,419,858
6459-93Out00010901,504,498
6358-94Out00793908,424
6257-95Out00496533,420
6156-96Out0397304,602
6055-97Out0298169,127
5954-98Out019991,421
5853-99Out019948,050
5752-100Out0010024,611
5651-101Out010012,161
5550-102Out01006,017
5-54Out100162,197*
Total:41.8%79117788877654321,898,928,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs