St. Louis Cardinals Playoff Chances 2015-2

Beat Brewers 4-0, playoff odds unchanged at 51%
5-3   .625

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cardinals vs Reds+2.7-3.9
+0.2-0.4
Cubs vs Padres-0.2+0.3
Pirates vs Brewers-0.2+0.3
Blue Jays vs Braves+0.1-0.2
Giants vs Diamondbacks+0.1-0.1
Nationals vs Phillies-0.1+0.1
Mets vs Marlins-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Cardinals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
112-157In100160,465*
111106-46In10003,878
110105-47In1008,181
109104-48In100016,954
108103-49In100034,338
107102-50In100066,144
106101-51In10000126,223
105100-52In10000231,892
10499-53In100000413,159
10398-54In100000716,097
10297-55In991001,205,497
10196-56In9910001,971,464
10095-57In9820003,134,066
9994-58In9640004,853,638
9893-59In9460007,292,742
9792-60In91801010,661,469
9691-61100.0%8612010015,159,551
9590-62100.08017120020,971,194
9489-63100.072231300028,227,556
9388-64100.063303400036,966,290
9287-65100.0513757000047,091,314
9186-66100.03942910100058,400,404
9085-6799.9274514131000070,462,398
8984-6899.7164320173000082,738,710
8883-6999.1936272171000094,595,379
8782-7097.1427322213300000105,288,219
8681-7191.91173420207100000114,058,095
8580-7281.10933152515400000120,314,871
8479-7363.604288242410200000123,571,410
8378-7442.4012141728217100000123,547,291
8277-7523.4001418232918510000120,269,857
8176-7611.1008031328291541000114,003,173
8075-774.904015173027123000105,221,330
7974-782.102001721322510200094,560,575
7873-790.901000210253222710082,749,958
7772-800.300000031329321851070,470,974
7671-810.10000015183229132058,458,708
7570-820.0000000182434247147,205,759
7469-830.0000000314313316337,111,718
7368-840.00000016223727628,405,519
7267-850.00000021334371321,155,544
7166-860.0000001726432315,349,996
7065-87Out0000318443510,835,025
6964-88Out000011140477,436,047
6863-89Out0001634594,978,599
6762-90Out0000327693,233,658
6661-91Out000220782,046,300
6560-92Out00115841,259,011
6459-93Out0001089755,109
6358-94Out00793439,969
6257-95Out00495248,852
6156-96Out0397137,218
6055-97Out029873,649
5954-98Out019938,125
5853-99Out19919,156
5752-100Out01009,715
5651-101Out01004,562
5550-102Out01002,104
5449-103Out0100976
5-53Out100158,045*
Total:51.0%1012147777766543211,898,928,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs