Milwaukee Brewers Playoff Chances 2015-2

Lost to Cardinals 0-4, playoff odds unchanged at 6.3%
2-7   .222

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pirates vs Brewers-0.8+1.2
-0.2+0.3
Cubs vs Padres-0.0+0.1
Blue Jays vs Braves+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Brewers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
106-154In100157,470*
105103-49In1000247
104102-50In991562
103101-51In100001,278
102100-52In99102,819
10199-53In98206,089
10098-54In9730012,399
9997-55In95401024,595
9896-56In93601047,449
9795-57In90901089,860
9694-58In8513020166,479
9593-59100.0%79171300298,272
9492-60100.072231400521,196
9391-61100.0622936000886,498
9290-62100.05135580001,464,497
9189-6399.9394081210002,355,218
9088-6499.82742121620003,688,549
8987-6599.517401721400005,617,405
8886-6698.793423258100008,329,215
8785-6796.542527261530000012,029,652
8684-6890.7116282323810000016,891,662
8583-6978.8082517281641000023,118,955
8482-7059.803201027261120000030,785,173
8381-7137.301144183022820000039,901,661
8280-7218.40081924311961000050,386,107
8179-737.400403132830165100061,907,993
8078-742.60201416302814400074,076,054
7977-750.901001619312712300086,296,953
7876-760.30000028233224920097,878,353
7775-770.1000000211263220610108,097,793
7674-780.0000000041531311530116,263,345
7573-790.0000001621342791121,711,707
7472-800.00000002112935193124,087,424
7371-810.000000151937308123,120,903
7270-820.0000000211323916118,940,544
7169-830.00000015244426111,870,660
7068-84Out00002164438102,406,783
6967-85Out000019395191,263,908
6866-86Out00005326279,179,976
6765-87Out0003257266,837,247
6664-88Out0001198054,910,490
6563-89Out0001138643,871,090
6462-90Out00099134,123,460
6361-91Out00069425,805,746
6260-92Out00049618,997,080
6159-93Out0029813,589,308
6058-94Out01999,459,164
5957-95Out01996,400,019
5856-96Out001004,207,779
5755-97Out001002,690,532
5654-98Out001001,669,616
5553-99Out01001,007,871
5452-100Out0100590,539
5351-101Out0100336,704
5250-102Out0100186,116
5149-103Out0100100,070
5048-104Out010052,029
4947-105Out010026,276
2-48Out100181,281*
Total:6.3%01212334578101317231,898,928,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Pirates vs Brewers+0.4-0.6

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
107-154100
106104-48991
105103-499810
104102-50982
103101-51982
102100-52964
10199-539460
10098-5491800
9997-55871310
9896-568118100
9795-577324300
9694-5864305100
9593-5953361010000
9492-6040411630000
9391-6128412371000000
9290-62173630133100000
9189-63927332182000000
9088-64417302815510000000
8987-65182129241241000000
8886-6603102227221141010000
8785-67013112126211130300000
8684-6800131020252010281000000
8583-6900013817241971451000000
8482-70000026152215191461000000
8381-7100000151318152116821000000
8280-7200001413616231911410000000
8179-7300001616142223168310000000
8078-7400002013101823211362000000
7977-7500010002613212318104100000
7876-7600000000139172322157210000
7775-770000000002512202420114100000
7674-780000000013917232315720000
7573-7900000000261422241893100
7472-800000000151221252010310
7371-81000000014122227211030
7270-820000000141223282191
7169-83000000015142730185
7068-840000002719322911
6967-85000000311283821
6866-860000015204133
6765-87000002133946
6664-880000173359
6563-89000042671
6462-90000021980
6361-9100011386
6260-920000991
6159-93000594
6058-9400397
5957-9500298
5856-9600199
5755-970199
5654-9800100
5553-9900100
5452-1000100
5351-1010100
5250-1020100
5149-1030100
5048-1040100
4947-1050100
4846-1060100
4745-1070100
4644-1080100
4543-1090100
2-44100
Total:00000111111122223333445567891014