Texas Rangers Playoff Chances 2015-2 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 28.3%
4-6   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mariners vs Rangers-2.7+2.7
-0.3+0.3
Royals vs Athletics+0.2-0.2
Blue Jays vs Braves-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
106-155In10058,697*
105101-50In10007,020
104100-51In1000013,520
10399-52In1000025,992
10298-53In1000048,043
10197-54In991087,199
10096-55In99100153,662
9995-56In982000263,071
9894-57In973000436,412
9793-58In954000707,226
9692-59In9360101,114,636
9591-60100.0%891001001,703,163
9490-61100.0831402002,541,018
9389-62100.07520140003,688,327
9288-63100.06527260005,202,698
9187-64100.053344900007,151,906
9086-6599.9404081210009,568,314
8985-6699.9264212172000012,459,447
8884-6799.51539192150000015,804,914
8783-6898.373225241020000019,523,012
8682-6994.6322292418510000023,483,999
8581-7085.41123019251230000027,500,125
8480-7168.20526112622820000031,360,778
8379-7245.002205192819710000034,852,250
8278-7323.700131924281861000037,704,235
8177-7410.400803122629175100039,736,500
8076-754.304004142829165100040,796,066
7975-761.802001516292815410040,813,028
7874-770.701000161830271330039,742,696
7773-780.200000017213226102037,712,062
7672-790.10000002102533227134,850,571
7571-800.00000000314303316331,360,356
7470-810.000000016213629827,494,973
7369-820.000000021131391623,477,559
7268-830.0000001523432819,521,893
7167-840.000000214424215,809,322
7066-850.00000018365512,465,580
6965-86Out0000428679,566,624
6864-87Out000221777,151,440
6763-88Out000114855,205,270
6662-89Out000010903,686,436
6561-90Out0006942,543,976
6460-91Out004961,704,999
6359-92Out002981,111,592
6258-93Out0199707,277
6157-94Out0199436,356
6056-95Out00100262,828
5955-96Out0100153,627
5854-97Out0010087,517
5753-98Out010047,959
5652-99Out010025,815
5551-100Out010013,574
5450-101Out01007,011
5349-102Out1003,384
5248-103Out01001,606
4-51Out10053,679*
Total:28.3%468556677778888632,011,240

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Mariners vs Rangers+0.7-0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
109-155100
108104-471000
107103-481000
106102-491000
105101-501000
104100-511000
10399-529910
10298-539910
10197-549910
10096-559820
9995-5696400
9894-5793600
9793-589010000
9692-5984151000
9591-60762220000
9490-616529500000
9389-625236101000000
9288-633840174100000
9187-64243926920000000
9086-6513313217610000000
8985-66520312613410000000
8884-672921282312410000000
8783-68031021262212410200000
8682-69003918252213415100000
8581-7000027152322134113000000
8480-71000014111921111810310000000
8379-7200000281718161912510000000
8278-730000016167172117941000000
8177-740000191513212216831000000
8076-750000401381622211572100000
7975-76000200014101823211462000000
7874-770001000001512192320125100000
7773-78000000000127142223189310000
7672-7900000000014101824221462000
7571-80000000000127152324178200
7470-81000000001513232620920
7369-820000000151323282181
7268-83000000015142630195
7167-8400000001618323112
7066-8500000029263923
6965-86000014184037
6864-87000002103751
6763-88000153064
6662-8900032275
6561-9000011583
6460-910001089
6359-9200793
6258-9300496
6157-940298
6056-950199
5955-960199
5854-970199
5753-980100
5652-990100
5551-1000100
5450-1010100
5349-1020100
5248-1030100
4-51100
Total:223333333433333333444444444444