"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Seattle Mariners Playoff Chances 2015-2

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 14%
3-6   .333

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mariners vs Rangers+1.5-2.0
+0.3-0.3
Royals vs Athletics+0.2-0.2
Blue Jays vs Braves-0.1+0.1
Astros vs Angels+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Mariners finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
108-155In100157,619*
107104-48In1000430
106103-49In1000970
105102-50In99102,130
104101-51In99104,685
103100-52In991010,018
10299-53In982020,175
10198-54In9730039,845
10097-55In95400076,249
9996-56In937000140,636
9895-57In9010010255,735
9794-58In8513010450,009
9693-59100.0%79190200771,576
9592-60100.0722513001,287,419
9491-61100.0633124002,084,209
9390-62100.05338460003,294,804
9289-63100.04144681005,054,852
9188-6499.93047101110007,556,397
9087-6599.8204716152000010,995,548
8986-6699.5114322185000015,566,601
8885-6798.76352920101000021,444,017
8784-6896.222433201630000028,748,397
8683-6990.211535182381000037,518,222
8582-7078.3073212261741000047,670,940
8481-7160.10326724251230000058,964,703
8380-7238.901193162922820000071,029,407
8279-7321.000131723301961000083,282,119
8178-749.80702122729165100095,072,508
8077-754.304004163028133000105,679,262
7976-761.8020016203126112000114,372,927
7875-770.701000292432238200120,507,379
7774-780.200000312273219610123,657,073
7673-790.100000141631301530123,521,112
7572-800.0000001722342691120,123,031
7471-810.00000002122934193113,731,203
7370-820.0000000152036308104,852,340
7269-830.000000021131391794,092,246
7168-840.00000001523442782,211,708
7067-850.0000000215434069,895,005
6966-86Out000019385357,857,546
6865-87Out00005316446,607,194
6764-88Out0002237436,529,674
6663-89Out0001178227,869,185
6562-90Out000128820,678,784
6461-91Out000089214,927,934
6360-92Out00059510,488,277
6259-93Out003977,156,488
6158-94Out002984,754,572
6057-95Out01993,071,048
5956-96Out001991,927,493
5855-97Out001001,178,957
5754-98Out00100698,860
5653-99Out0100402,933
5552-100Out0100225,713
5451-101Out0100123,129
5350-102Out010064,727
5249-103Out010033,449
3-51Out100188,651*
Total:14.0%12623456789101112131,898,928,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Mariners vs Rangers-0.5+0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
109-155100
108105-47991
107104-481000
106103-49991
105102-50991
104101-51991
103100-529820
10299-539730
10198-5495500
10097-5592800
9996-568812100
9895-578216100
9794-5875223000
9693-59652950000
9592-605436910000
9491-61414015300000
9390-6229412371000000
9289-63183630133100000
9188-649273321820000000
9087-65416292816610000000
8986-66182028241341000000
8885-6702102127221241010000
8784-68013102026211141300000
8683-690013919242111382000000
8582-7000002816232091551000000
8481-71000016142217191462000000
8380-7200001413211420168310000000
8279-730000141661521191151000000
8178-740000191513212216831000000
8077-7500004013917232113620000000
7976-76000020002513202319104100000
7875-7700010000138162322157210000
7774-78000000000251220242011410000
7673-790000000013917232215720000
7572-80000000000261422241893100
7471-8100000000151322252010310
7370-820000000014122227211030
7269-830000000141324282081
7168-84000000015152730174
7067-85000000002720332810
6966-86000000312293719
6865-87000016214131
6764-88000002143944
6663-890000183457
6562-90000042768
6461-91000022078
6360-9200011485
6259-930001090
6158-9400693
6057-9500496
5956-9600397
5855-970298
5754-980199
5653-990199
5552-10000100
5451-1010100
5350-1020100
5249-1030100
5148-1040100
5047-1050100
4946-1060100
4845-1070100
4744-1080100
4643-1090100
3-45100
Total:011111222322333344444555566666