Houston Astros Playoff Chances 2015-2

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 19.9%
4-5   .444

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Astros vs Angels+2.0-2.6
+0.3-0.4
Royals vs Athletics+0.2-0.3
Blue Jays vs Braves-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Astros finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
107-156In100159,896*
106102-50In10003,092
105101-51In99106,663
104100-52In9910013,797
10399-53In991027,964
10298-54In9820054,016
10197-55In97300102,831
10096-56In95500188,722
9995-57In937000338,160
9894-58100.0%89100100586,261
9793-59In8514010994,533
9692-60100.0791902001,636,710
9591-61100.0712513002,621,977
9490-62100.0623224004,081,010
9389-63100.05239460006,191,293
9288-64100.04044780009,130,215
9187-65100.029481111100013,107,449
9086-6699.9194716153000018,298,975
8985-6799.61143231850000024,869,368
8884-6898.75342920101000032,932,988
8783-6996.122434201630000042,433,204
8682-7090.0114351723810000053,205,426
8581-7178.10733122617510000064,953,342
8480-7259.90327724251230000077,196,347
8379-7339.001203162922820000089,301,033
8278-7421.3001317233019610000100,604,791
8177-7510.208021227291641000110,340,683
8076-764.604004163028133000117,825,861
7975-772.0020017203125112000122,515,204
7874-780.801000292432228100124,035,908
7773-790.3000000313273119510122,239,427
7672-800.100000151731301430117,280,607
7571-810.00000001822342591109,573,071
7470-820.0000000312293418399,669,406
7369-830.00000016203629888,238,781
7268-840.000000021232381676,042,926
7167-850.0000001624432663,782,304
7066-860.0000000216433952,085,344
6965-870.00000019385141,394,127
6864-88Out00005326332,003,382
6763-89Out00002247324,085,299
6662-90Out0001188117,624,476
6561-91Out0000128712,551,096
6460-92Out00008928,691,800
6359-93Out0005955,854,799
6258-94Out003973,839,445
6157-95Out02982,444,338
6056-96Out01991,515,848
5955-97Out00199910,387
5854-98Out00100533,183
5753-99Out0100303,263
5652-100Out0100167,450
5551-101Out010089,828
5450-102Out010046,904
5349-103Out010023,710
5248-104Out010011,639
5147-105Out01005,533
4-50Out100162,028*
Total:19.9%1483466788999991,898,928,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Astros vs Angels-0.5+0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
110-156100
109105-471000
108104-48100
107103-491000
106102-5010000
105101-51991
104100-529910
10399-539820
10298-549730
10197-559550
10096-5692800
9995-578812100
9894-5882171000
9793-5974233000
9692-60653050000
9591-615336910000
9490-62414015300000
9389-6328412371000000
9288-641736301331000000
9187-659273321820000000
9086-66416292816610000000
8985-67172028241351000000
8884-6802102127221241010000
8783-69003102026211141300000
8682-700013918242111382000000
8581-7100002716232091561000000
8480-72000016142217191461000000
8379-730000141321142016831000000
8278-7400001416615211911510000000
8177-7500000191513212216831000000
8076-7600000401391723211362000000
7975-77000200026132123181041000000
7874-7800010000138172322157210000
7773-79000000000251220241911410000
7672-800000000013917242215620000
7571-81000000000271523241783000
7470-820000000251322251910300
7369-83000000001512222720920
7268-840000000151324282081
7167-85000000015152729174
7066-8600000002820332810
6965-87000000312293719
6864-88000016224131
6763-89000003144044
6662-900000183457
6561-91000042868
6460-9200022177
6359-9300011584
6258-940001090
6157-95000793
6056-9600496
5955-9700397
5854-980298
5753-990199
5652-1000199
5551-1010100
5450-1020100
5349-1030100
5248-1040100
5147-1050100
5046-1060100
4945-1070100
4844-1080100
4-47100
Total:111222233433334444444455555544