New York Yankees Playoff Chances 2015-2

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 17.7%
3-6   .333

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rays vs Yankees-1.8+2.5
-0.3+0.3
Blue Jays vs Braves-0.2+0.3
Royals vs Athletics-0.1+0.1
Twins vs Indians+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
108-155In100158,422*
107104-48In10001,408
106103-49In100003,013
105102-50In100006,548
104101-51In991013,659
103100-52In991027,295
10299-53In9820053,899
10198-54In97300102,111
10097-55In954000188,256
9996-56In937000338,110
9895-57In909010587,185
9794-58100.0%85130100998,188
9693-59100.0791802001,639,730
9592-60100.0722413002,633,401
9491-61100.06330150004,105,259
9390-62100.05237380006,220,638
9289-63100.0414251110009,177,756
9188-6499.930458162000013,175,924
9087-6599.7204411214000018,399,020
8986-6699.3114015258100025,015,808
8885-6797.853219281420000033,093,228
8784-6894.2222212722510000042,623,780
8683-6986.31132022301220000053,421,389
8582-7072.00617153322610000065,195,395
8481-7151.80212829311430000077,432,897
8380-7230.20183193425920000089,564,564
8279-7313.500418263320610000100,823,584
8178-744.602031329311651000110,497,050
8077-751.3010151831281330000117,955,895
7976-760.3000017213226112000122,559,066
7875-770.1000002102432228100123,978,175
7774-780.0000000313283219510122,092,675
7673-790.000000151731291430117,135,042
7572-800.00000001823342581109,374,471
7471-810.0000000313303417399,398,119
7370-820.00000016213728787,978,038
7269-830.000000021233381575,805,725
7168-84Out000001625432563,564,871
7067-85Out00000317433751,878,995
6966-86Out0000110395041,220,377
6865-87Out00005336131,870,301
6764-88Out0003267223,980,097
6663-89Out0001198017,566,377
6562-90Out0001138612,507,714
6461-91Out0009918,667,391
6360-92Out0006945,844,117
6259-93Out004963,833,330
6158-94Out002982,441,128
6057-95Out01991,516,971
5956-96Out0199912,608
5855-97Out00100534,894
5754-98Out00100304,558
5653-99Out0100168,576
5552-100Out010090,705
5451-101Out010047,321
5350-102Out010023,834
51-52Out10017,316*
5047-105Out01002,577
3-49Out100159,339*
Total:17.7%2343677888999991,898,928,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Rays vs Yankees+0.5-0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
108-155100
107104-48991
106103-49991
105102-50991
104101-51991
103100-529820
10299-539730
10198-549550
10097-5592800
9996-568812100
9895-578217100
9794-58742330000
9693-59653050000
9592-605336910000
9491-614140153000000
9390-6228412371000000
9289-6317363013310000000
9188-6492733218200000000
9087-65416292816510000000
8986-66182028241341001000
8885-6702102127221141020000
8784-680031020252110305100000
8683-690013919242092112000000
8582-70000027162218719710000000
8481-710000151319132317720000000
8380-7200001411151624189310000000
8279-7300001310617242112510000000
8178-7400001415142223178310000000
8077-7500001013101824211362000000
7976-7600000002613212418104100000
7875-7700000000139172322157210000
7774-78000000000251321241911410000
7673-790000000013918242214620000
7572-80000000001271523241783000
7471-81000000025132225199300
7370-82000000001513232720920
7269-830000000151424281971
7168-8400000016162829164
7067-85000000282133279
6966-8600001313293618
6865-870000016224130
6764-8800003154043
6663-890000193555
6562-90000052867
6461-9100022176
6360-920011584
6259-930001089
6158-94000793
6057-9500496
5956-9600397
5855-970298
5754-980199
5653-990199
5552-1000100
5451-1010100
5350-1020100
5249-1030100
5148-1040100
5047-1050100
4946-106100
4845-1070100
3-47100
Total:111222222233344444444455555544