Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances 2015-2 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 41.5%
6-3   .667

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Red Sox vs Orioles+3.2-3.2
+0.3-0.3
Blue Jays vs Braves-0.3+0.3
Rays vs Yankees-0.1+0.1
Royals vs Athletics-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
108-158In10062,361*
107101-51In100010,206
106100-52In1000019,727
10599-53In1000037,303
10498-54In1000068,318
10397-55In10000121,206
10296-56In10000209,120
10195-57In9900350,083
10094-58In991000573,386
9993-59In981000910,944
9892-60In9720001,409,274
9791-61100.0%96401002,123,259
9690-62100.093601003,116,737
9589-63100.089902004,447,399
9488-64100.0831303006,182,178
9387-65100.07618150008,363,841
9286-66100.066252800011,016,658
9185-67100.05431312000014,136,889
9084-6899.94036616100017,663,621
8983-6999.82739102230000021,502,211
8882-7099.41536142761000025,492,677
8781-7197.97291930132000029,425,658
8680-7293.732022282161000033,108,152
8579-7383.611122222813300000036,282,902
8478-7465.30519132924920000038,727,822
8377-7541.301135213020710000040,270,680
8276-7620.000811025301861000040,802,667
8175-777.500403132829175100040,267,693
8074-782.502014152929165100038,723,774
7973-790.901001517302815410036,273,129
7872-800.300000161831271330033,101,465
7771-810.100000017213226102029,427,197
7670-820.00000002102533227125,479,095
7569-830.00000000314303316321,493,854
7468-840.000000016213628817,665,820
7367-850.000000021131391614,137,843
7266-860.0000001523432811,016,100
7165-87Out000021442428,358,246
7064-88Out00001836556,178,060
6963-89Out0000429674,445,191
6862-90Out0000221773,112,219
6761-91Out00115842,125,908
6660-92Out00010901,409,540
6559-93Out000694911,649
6458-94Out00496571,779
6357-95Out0298350,237
6256-96Out00199208,961
6155-97Out0199120,815
6054-98Out010067,734
5953-99Out010037,264
5852-100Out010019,745
5751-101Out010010,345
5650-102Out01005,168
5549-103Out01002,590
6-54Out10054,540*
Total:41.5%998887776665554632,011,240

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs