Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances 2015-2

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 45%
6-3   .667

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Red Sox vs Orioles+2.8-3.7
+0.3-0.3
Blue Jays vs Braves-0.3+0.5
Rays vs Yankees-0.1+0.2
Royals vs Athletics-0.1+0.1
Twins vs Indians+0.1-0.1
Tigers vs White Sox-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
112-158In100159,527*
111105-47In10002,799
110104-48In10006,052
109103-49In100012,535
108102-50In1000025,374
107101-51In100049,629
106100-52In1000094,901
10599-53In10000175,947
10498-54In9910317,253
10397-55In99100555,652
10296-56In98200946,806
10195-57In9730001,565,740
10094-58In9550002,519,617
9993-59In9270003,945,897
9892-60In89100005,999,652
9791-61100.0%841501008,891,739
9690-62100.07820010012,801,876
9589-63100.071261200017,920,817
9488-64100.062332400024,438,965
9387-65100.051393600032,427,596
9286-66100.040456910041,852,647
9185-67100.029489131000052,593,568
9084-6899.8194713173000064,319,543
8983-6999.51142182271000076,562,016
8882-7098.35342224122000088,719,689
8781-7195.2224252420400000100,077,790
8680-7288.211424212810100000109,909,816
8579-7375.00721153220510000117,499,714
8478-7455.503168282912200000122,319,749
8377-7533.8011131933248100000123,965,573
8276-7616.200619263219610000122,353,580
8175-776.103031430301541000117,536,284
8074-782.001015183127123000109,937,863
7973-790.6000018223225102000100,130,876
7872-800.200000210253222810088,804,788
7771-810.000000031328311851076,679,672
7670-820.00000015173129133064,422,146
7569-830.000000182334258152,728,090
7468-840.0000000313303417341,975,866
7367-850.00000016213628832,549,318
7266-860.000000021232381524,561,840
7165-87Out00001624432618,048,459
7064-88Out0000316433812,901,183
6963-89Out000011039508,974,356
6862-90Out0000532626,074,643
6761-91Out0000325723,999,847
6660-92Out000118812,562,821
6559-93Out00113871,598,010
6458-94Out000991969,352
6357-95Out00694570,509
6256-96Out00496327,275
6155-97Out00298182,875
6054-98Out019999,042
5953-99Out019952,036
5852-100Out19926,463
5751-101Out010013,212
5650-102Out01006,400
5549-103Out01003,045
6-54Out100159,790*
Total:45.0%712981098776544321,898,928,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs