Tampa Bay Rays Playoff Chances 2015-2 50/50

Beat Blue Jays 4-2, playoff odds unchanged at 38.3%
6-4   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rays vs Yankees+3.1-3.1
+0.3-0.3
Blue Jays vs Braves-0.3+0.3
Royals vs Athletics-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Rays finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
107-157In10065,598*
106100-51In1000013,592
10599-52In1000025,777
10498-53In1000048,161
10397-54In1000087,374
10296-55In100000153,910
10195-56In99000263,188
10094-57In991000437,063
9993-58In981000707,489
9892-59In9720001,112,402
9791-60100.0%96401001,705,845
9690-61In9360102,544,138
9589-62100.089902003,685,864
9488-63100.08313040005,202,711
9387-64100.07618160007,149,038
9286-65100.066242800009,566,085
9185-66100.05331312100012,461,051
9084-6799.940366171000015,802,599
8983-6899.827389233000019,518,294
8882-6999.41536142871000023,468,672
8781-7097.97291830132000027,495,074
8680-7193.5319212922610000031,358,278
8579-7283.21102122291430000034,839,570
8478-7364.70418133024920000037,713,177
8377-7440.701135213120710000039,740,513
8276-7519.500811026301861000040,808,910
8175-767.200403132829175100040,801,382
8074-772.402014152929164100039,741,586
7973-780.801001517302814410037,712,112
7872-790.300000161931271330034,849,030
7771-800.100000018213225102031,370,909
7670-810.00000002102533227127,502,149
7569-820.0000000314303316323,484,410
7468-830.000000016213628819,523,537
7367-840.000000021232381615,817,652
7266-850.00000001523432812,465,900
7165-86Out000021442419,566,615
7064-87Out00001836557,150,158
6963-88Out0000429675,203,124
6862-89Out000221773,685,699
6761-90Out000115842,542,320
6660-91Out000010901,706,128
6559-92Out0006931,111,907
6458-93Out00496706,362
6357-94Out00298437,879
6256-95Out0199263,524
6155-96Out0199153,113
6054-97Out009987,622
5953-98Out0010048,391
5852-99Out010025,944
5751-100Out010013,618
5650-101Out01006,920
5549-102Out01003,442
6-54Out10055,434*
Total:38.3%887887777666655632,011,240

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs