Tampa Bay Rays Playoff Chances 2015-2

Beat Blue Jays 4-2, playoff odds unchanged at 36.2%
6-4   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rays vs Yankees+2.5-3.4
+0.3-0.3
Blue Jays vs Braves-0.3+0.4
Royals vs Athletics-0.1+0.1
Twins vs Indians+0.1-0.1
Red Sox vs Orioles-0.0+0.1
Tigers vs White Sox-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Rays finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
110-157In100161,012*
109103-48In10004,492
108102-49In10009,358
107101-50In100019,228
106100-51In1000037,810
10599-52In990073,648
10498-53In99100137,482
10397-54In99100252,210
10296-55In98200445,436
10195-56In973000769,011
10094-57In9550001,287,946
9993-58In9370002,094,275
9892-59In89100103,323,614
9791-60100.0%841401005,114,188
9690-61100.0781902007,655,201
9589-62100.071251300011,160,231
9488-63100.062322500015,813,488
9387-64100.051383700021,794,907
9286-65100.04044511100029,237,046
9185-6699.92946815200038,164,555
9084-6799.8194612194000048,489,239
8983-6899.41141172471000059,939,619
8882-6998.15332026142000072,107,146
8781-7094.722323262150000084,447,249
8680-7187.21142222291120000096,251,209
8579-7273.607191533215100000106,779,506
8478-7353.803148293013300000115,310,914
8377-7432.201931933248100000121,260,373
8276-7515.100519263319610000124,129,287
8175-765.503031430301641000123,640,090
8074-771.701015183128133000119,936,292
7973-780.5000018223225102000113,256,363
7872-790.1000002102532228100104,095,056
7771-800.000000031328311851093,133,114
7670-810.00000015183129133081,122,890
7569-820.0000000282334248168,777,871
7468-830.0000000313303417356,746,606
7367-840.000000016213628745,582,983
7266-850.00000021233381535,619,415
7165-86Out00001625432527,089,738
7064-87Out00000317433720,051,043
6963-88Out0000110395014,443,715
6862-89Out000005326210,116,027
6761-90Out000325726,890,321
6660-91Out000118804,569,739
6559-92Out00113862,945,590
6458-93Out0009911,849,344
6357-94Out006941,127,434
6256-95Out00496668,034
6155-96Out0298383,625
6054-97Out0199215,477
5953-98Out0199117,118
5852-99Out010061,585
5751-100Out010031,711
5650-101Out010015,821
5549-102Out01007,565
5448-103Out01003,636
5347-104Out01001,694
6-52Out100158,543*
Total:36.2%5977999877665431,898,928,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Rays vs Yankees-0.5+0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
112-157100
111105-461000
110104-471000
109103-481000
108102-491000
107101-501000
106100-51991
10599-529910
10498-539910
10397-549820
10296-5597300
10195-5695500
10094-5792800
9993-588712100
9892-598217100
9791-607423300000
9690-61643050000
9589-6253371010000
9488-6340411630000000
9387-6428412371000000
9286-6517363013310000000
9185-669273321820000000
9084-67416292816610000000
8983-681720282413410010000
8882-69021021272212410200000
8781-700031020262111305000000
8680-7100139192420102112000000
8579-7200002716221871871000000
8478-730000151320142216620000000
8377-7400000141216162317831000000
8276-7500001411617232012510000000
8175-760000151614222317831000000
8074-77000002014101824211362000000
7973-7800000002613212318104100000
7872-7900000000139172322157200000
7771-80000000000261321241911410000
7670-8100000000013918242214620000
7569-82000000001271523241783000
7468-83000000025132225199300
7367-8400000001513222620920
7266-85000000151324282071
7165-8600000016162829174
7064-8700000282132279
6963-88000001312293618
6862-89000016224130
6761-9000003144043
6660-91000183556
6559-92000042868
6458-930022177
6357-940011584
6256-95001089
6155-9600793
6054-9700496
5953-980397
5852-990298
5751-1000199
5650-1010199
5549-1020100
5448-1030100
5347-1040100
5246-1050100
6-51100
Total:234444444454444444433333322221