Toronto Blue Jays Playoff Chances 2015-2 50/50

Lost to Rays 2-4, playoff odds unchanged at 32.2%
5-5   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blue Jays vs Braves+2.6-2.6
+0.3-0.3
Rays vs Yankees-0.1+0.1
Royals vs Athletics-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Blue Jays finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
108-156In10055,252*
107102-49In10003,485
106101-50In10006,875
105100-51In100013,693
10499-52In1000025,886
10398-53In1000048,126
10297-54In1000086,796
10196-55In99000153,296
10095-56In99100261,995
9994-57In981000436,805
9893-58In972010706,498
9792-59In9640101,116,216
9691-60100.0%93601001,706,291
9590-61100.089902002,541,385
9489-62100.0831204003,683,964
9388-63100.07618160005,205,458
9287-64100.06624190007,156,322
9186-65100.0533031310009,570,428
9085-6699.94035518100012,463,939
8984-6799.827379243000015,809,383
8883-6899.31535132971000019,519,386
8782-6997.772818311420000023,483,404
8681-7093.2319202922610000027,499,553
8580-7182.61102022301430000031,357,985
8479-7263.90417133025920000034,851,087
8378-7339.801125213121710000037,705,460
8277-7418.800711026301861000039,746,193
8176-756.800403132830175100040,802,660
8075-762.202014152929165100040,800,702
7974-770.701001517302815410039,735,844
7873-780.200000161931271330037,712,903
7772-790.100000018213225102034,845,074
7671-800.00000002102533227131,374,002
7570-810.00000000314303316327,495,688
7469-820.000000016213628823,476,022
7368-830.000000021232381619,517,309
7267-84Out000001523432815,808,680
7166-85Out0000214424112,460,901
7065-86Out00001837559,566,123
6964-87Out0000429677,152,471
6863-88Out000222765,203,510
6762-89Out000115843,683,976
6661-90Out00010902,540,665
6560-91Out0006931,706,540
6459-92Out004961,112,887
6358-93Out00298706,977
6257-94Out0199436,143
6156-95Out0199262,387
6055-96Out00100154,150
5954-97Out010087,146
5853-98Out010048,314
5752-99Out010025,940
5651-100Out010013,560
5-55Out10065,505*
Total:32.2%666777777777776632,011,240

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs