Chicago White Sox Playoff Chances 2015-2

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 12.6%
3-5   .375

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tigers vs White Sox-1.3+2.1
-0.2+0.3
Blue Jays vs Braves-0.1+0.2
Royals vs Athletics-0.1+0.1
Twins vs Indians+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the White Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
108-156In100157,766*
107104-49In1000633
106103-50In100001,426
105102-51In100003,138
104101-52In99016,455
103100-53In9901013,341
10299-54In9901026,832
10198-55In9812051,931
10097-56In97103097,565
9996-57In951040180,344
9895-58In922050322,631
9794-59100.0%8830800560,780
9693-60100.083501100946,938
9592-61100.07680160001,557,717
9491-62100.06711021102,498,508
9390-63100.0571412720003,895,804
9289-64100.0451713430005,906,238
9188-6599.9331924060008,726,257
9087-6699.6212034510000012,546,261
8986-6798.9121854816100017,552,409
8885-6897.1614647243000023,922,422
8784-6992.62107413371000031,706,042
8683-7083.415631401420000040,945,476
8582-7167.8025194125610000051,475,156
8481-7246.9013933341530000063,020,668
8380-7325.700232035271020000075,127,876
8279-7410.50011926342171000087,224,458
8178-753.10003132931175100098,618,158
8077-760.7000041731291430000108,542,007
7976-770.1000017203226112000116,388,457
7875-780.000000292432238100121,529,852
7774-790.0000000312273219610123,544,043
7673-800.000000151631301430122,336,147
7572-810.00000001722342691117,955,043
7471-820.00000003122934183110,724,349
7370-830.0000000152036298101,230,984
7269-84Out0000021132391690,106,595
7168-85Out00001624432778,071,234
7067-86Out0000215433965,870,908
6966-87Out000019385254,094,921
6865-88Out000005316443,247,906
6764-89Out00002247433,648,341
6663-90Out0001178225,473,829
6562-91Out000128818,770,318
6461-92Out00089213,453,747
6360-93Out0005959,383,879
6259-94Out0003976,365,234
6158-95Out002984,197,220
6057-96Out001992,696,608
5956-97Out01991,680,720
5855-98Out001001,019,525
5754-99Out0100600,963
5653-100Out00100342,996
5552-101Out0100190,914
5451-102Out0100103,266
5350-103Out010054,071
5249-104Out010027,507
5148-105Out010013,842
3-50Out100169,464*
Total:12.6%11146667889101011121,898,928,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Tigers vs White Sox+0.4-0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
108-156100
107104-49991
106103-501000
105102-51991
104101-529910
103100-539820
10299-549730
10198-559640
10097-5693700
9996-579010000
9895-588415100
9794-5977202000
9693-60682740000
9592-615734810000
9491-62443914300000
9390-63314121610000000
9289-641937291230000000
9188-6510283320720000000
9087-66417302715510000000
8986-67182128231241001000
8885-6803102127211131030000
8784-69013102025201030710000
8683-700013918231992143000000
8582-7100002715201662282000000
8481-720000151217112518720000000
8380-730000131012172519931000000
8279-740000037618252113510000000
8178-750000031614222417931000000
8077-7600001013101824211462000000
7976-7700000002613212419104100000
7875-7800000000139172322157210000
7774-79000000000251221241911410000
7673-800000000013917242215620000
7572-81000000000271523241783000
7471-8200000000251322251910300
7370-830000000001512222720920
7269-84000000151324282081
7168-8500000016152729174
7067-860000002820332810
6966-8700000312293719
6865-880000016214131
6764-8900003143944
6663-900000183457
6562-91000042768
6461-9200022078
6360-9300011485
6259-940001090
6158-95000694
6057-9600496
5956-9700298
5855-980199
5754-990199
5653-1000199
5552-10100100
5451-1020100
5350-1030100
5249-1040100
5148-1050100
5047-1060100
48-49100
4744-1090100
4643-1100100
3-45100
Total:011111222233333444444555556666