Minnesota Twins Playoff Chances 2015-2 50/50

Beat Royals 8-5, playoff odds unchanged at 23.8%
3-6   .333

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Twins vs Indians+2.5-2.5
+0.3-0.3
Royals vs Athletics-0.2+0.2
Blue Jays vs Braves-0.1+0.1
Tigers vs White Sox-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Twins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
107-155In10054,492*
106103-49In10002,513
105102-50In10005,275
104101-51In1000010,208
103100-52In10000019,654
10299-53In1000037,063
10198-54In99000067,511
10097-55In99000119,724
9996-56In981010208,600
9895-57In982010350,266
9794-58100.0%9630200570,068
9693-59100.09340200910,022
9592-60100.090604001,408,232
9491-61100.0841006002,124,330
9390-62100.07614090003,113,597
9289-63100.066191130004,442,875
9188-64100.0542521810006,177,182
9087-6599.9413042420008,366,095
8986-6699.727327304000011,014,518
8885-6799.21630103591000014,134,393
8784-6897.472414361620000017,663,276
8683-6992.431616332571000021,492,826
8582-7081.2191524321530000025,499,448
8481-7161.703121432261020000029,431,740
8380-7237.40186223222710000033,098,515
8279-7316.800511026311961000036,283,873
8178-745.50203132830175100038,725,071
8077-751.501004152929165100040,271,393
7976-760.400001517302815410040,798,862
7875-770.100000161831271330040,262,254
7774-780.000000017213226102038,721,978
7673-790.00000002102533227136,283,963
7572-800.00000000314303316333,104,588
7471-810.000000016213628829,432,159
7370-820.000000021131391625,498,624
7269-830.0000001523432821,491,154
7168-84Out0000214424217,665,099
7067-85Out000018365514,130,530
6966-86Out00004296711,019,228
6865-87Out0000221778,363,945
6764-88Out000115846,180,803
6663-89Out00010904,447,628
6562-90Out0006943,115,730
6461-91Out0004962,124,064
6360-92Out002981,409,804
6259-93Out0199909,225
6158-94Out0199573,172
6057-95Out00100349,624
5956-96Out00100207,483
5855-97Out0100121,199
5754-98Out010067,924
5653-99Out010037,128
5552-100Out010019,928
5451-101Out010010,273
5350-102Out01005,080
3-52Out10057,031*
Total:23.8%4436667777888910632,011,240

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs