Kansas City Royals Playoff Chances 2015-2 50/50

Lost to Twins 5-8, playoff odds unchanged at 47.4%
7-2   .778

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Royals vs Athletics+3.1-3.1
+0.3-0.3
Blue Jays vs Braves-0.2+0.2
Tigers vs White Sox-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
110-159In10057,018*
109102-50In10005,173
108101-51In100010,113
107100-52In100019,935
10699-53In1000037,333
10598-54In1000067,542
10497-55In10000120,805
10396-56In10000208,991
10295-57In100000349,948
10194-58In100000571,381
10093-59In99100911,046
9992-60In9910001,408,346
9891-61In9820102,124,359
9790-62In9630103,118,835
9689-63100.0%94502004,448,228
9588-64100.090703006,175,990
9487-65100.0841105008,356,981
9386-66100.077151700011,012,774
9285-67100.0672111000014,134,211
9184-68100.05527215100017,653,936
9083-6999.941325201000021,495,714
8982-7099.828358263000025,485,589
8881-7199.41633123171000029,432,784
8780-7297.982716331420000033,111,702
8679-7393.531819312261000036,274,436
8578-7483.31101924301430000038,732,689
8477-7564.70416143124920000040,282,451
8376-7640.50111622312071000040,809,951
8275-7719.200721126301851000040,274,403
8174-786.90403142829165100038,732,273
8073-792.20201416292915410036,272,892
7972-800.701001517302814400033,100,814
7871-810.200000161931271330029,434,625
7770-820.100000018213225102025,480,870
7669-830.00000002102533227121,495,146
7568-840.0000000314303316317,658,632
7467-850.000000016213628814,134,876
7366-860.000000021131381611,014,023
7265-87Out0000152343288,358,394
7164-88Out000021442426,178,691
7063-89Out00001836554,444,193
6962-90Out0000429673,114,708
6861-91Out000221772,125,813
6760-92Out000115841,412,760
6659-93Out0001090910,430
6558-94Out000694572,591
6457-95Out00496350,941
6356-96Out00298207,915
6255-97Out00199120,854
6154-98Out019967,831
6053-99Out0010037,260
5952-100Out010019,683
5851-101Out010010,127
5750-102Out01005,044
5649-103Out01002,642
7-55Out10054,548*
Total:47.4%12971098766555443632,011,240

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs