Kansas City Royals Playoff Chances 2015-2

Lost to Twins 5-8, playoff odds unchanged at 72.1%
7-2   .778

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Royals vs Athletics+2.3-3.1
+0.2-0.3
Blue Jays vs Braves-0.2+0.3
Twins vs Indians+0.1-0.1
Rays vs Yankees-0.1+0.1
Tigers vs White Sox-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
113-159In100185,649*
112105-47In100030,310
111104-48In1000059,780
110103-49In10000114,265
109102-50In10000211,236
108101-51In10000379,480
107100-52In10000664,568
10699-53In100001,125,414
10598-54In100001,852,411
10497-55In10000002,969,121
10396-56In9900004,615,950
10295-57In9900106,974,618
10194-58In98101010,250,965
10093-59In97102014,644,364
9992-60In95203020,342,895
9891-61100.0%923050027,471,186
9790-62100.0894070036,104,547
9689-63100.08370100046,173,004
9588-64100.077901400057,403,310
9487-65100.0681301800069,480,795
9386-66100.0581712400081,848,511
9285-67100.04621230100093,796,593
9184-68100.035243361000104,644,208
9083-6999.9232654330000113,620,206
8982-7099.6142484770000120,111,134
8881-7198.872010491310000123,571,794
8780-7296.3314124621300000123,844,049
8679-7390.1191238309100000120,775,181
8578-7477.70410273618400000114,695,846
8477-7558.402815342911200000106,039,376
8376-7635.6015624342271000095,464,392
8275-7716.700321228321851000083,684,823
8174-785.80104163029144000071,403,915
8073-791.601016193127123000059,344,240
7972-800.400001822322410200048,019,689
7871-810.100000210243222810037,830,886
7770-820.00000031327311961029,010,612
7669-830.00000015163030143021,658,222
7568-840.0000000172233269115,746,077
7467-850.0000000312283419411,140,047
7366-860.0000001519363097,675,906
7265-87Out00002103039175,145,815
7164-88Out0000152243293,360,573
7063-89Out000021442422,133,171
6962-90Out00001836551,319,612
6861-91Out00042966793,447
6760-92Out00022276464,615
6659-93Out0011683264,774
6558-94Out00011188146,661
6457-95Out00079279,745
6356-96Out0059541,681
6255-97Out039720,979
6154-98Out029810,741
6053-99Out02985,084
5952-100Out01992,390
5851-101Out00991,089
5750-102Out0100495
7-56Out100157,673*
Total:72.1%23105231175432211101,898,928,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Royals vs Athletics-0.4+0.6

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
118-159100
117110-421000
116109-43100
115108-441000
114107-451000
113106-461000
112105-471000
111104-481000
110103-491000
109102-501000
108101-511000
107100-521000
10699-5310000
10598-549910
10497-559910
10396-569820
10295-5797300
10194-58964000
10093-59937000
9992-609010000
9891-61841510000
9790-62772120000
9689-636828400000
9588-64573481000000
9487-654440142000000
9386-66314121610000000
9285-6719372912300000000
9184-6810293320720000000
9083-69418302714510000000
8982-70182129231241000000
8881-7103112227211131010000
8780-720141121262010303000000
8679-730013102025209281000000
8578-7400013817231971651000000
8477-7500000261521142014610000000
8376-760000151317162216821000000
8275-77000001412617232011510000000
8174-780000151614222316831000000
8073-79000010141018232113620000000
7972-8000000002613212319104100000
7871-8100000000138162322157310000
7770-82000000000251220242012510000
7669-8300000000013817232315720000
7568-8400000000261422241893100
7467-8500000000151221252011310
7366-8600000014112127221130
7265-87000000141223282191
7164-880000015142730185
7063-89000002719322911
6962-90000000311283821
6861-9100015204133
6760-9200002133846
6659-93000173359
6558-9400042670
6457-950021978
6356-96011485
6255-9700990
6154-9800694
6053-990496
5952-1000397
5851-1010199
5750-102199
7-56100
Total:14119876554343332222111111100000