Kansas City Royals Playoff Chances 2015-2

Lost to Twins 5-8, playoff odds unchanged at 72.1%
7-2   .778

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Royals vs Athletics+2.3-3.1
+0.2-0.3
Blue Jays vs Braves-0.2+0.3
Twins vs Indians+0.1-0.1
Rays vs Yankees-0.1+0.1
Tigers vs White Sox-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
113-159In100185,649*
112105-47In100030,310
111104-48In1000059,780
110103-49In10000114,265
109102-50In10000211,236
108101-51In10000379,480
107100-52In10000664,568
10699-53In100001,125,414
10598-54In100001,852,411
10497-55In10000002,969,121
10396-56In9900004,615,950
10295-57In9900106,974,618
10194-58In98101010,250,965
10093-59In97102014,644,364
9992-60In95203020,342,895
9891-61100.0%923050027,471,186
9790-62100.0894070036,104,547
9689-63100.08370100046,173,004
9588-64100.077901400057,403,310
9487-65100.0681301800069,480,795
9386-66100.0581712400081,848,511
9285-67100.04621230100093,796,593
9184-68100.035243361000104,644,208
9083-6999.9232654330000113,620,206
8982-7099.6142484770000120,111,134
8881-7198.872010491310000123,571,794
8780-7296.3314124621300000123,844,049
8679-7390.1191238309100000120,775,181
8578-7477.70410273618400000114,695,846
8477-7558.402815342911200000106,039,376
8376-7635.6015624342271000095,464,392
8275-7716.700321228321851000083,684,823
8174-785.80104163029144000071,403,915
8073-791.601016193127123000059,344,240
7972-800.400001822322410200048,019,689
7871-810.100000210243222810037,830,886
7770-820.00000031327311961029,010,612
7669-830.00000015163030143021,658,222
7568-840.0000000172233269115,746,077
7467-850.0000000312283419411,140,047
7366-860.0000001519363097,675,906
7265-87Out00002103039175,145,815
7164-88Out0000152243293,360,573
7063-89Out000021442422,133,171
6962-90Out00001836551,319,612
6861-91Out00042966793,447
6760-92Out00022276464,615
6659-93Out0011683264,774
6558-94Out00011188146,661
6457-95Out00079279,745
6356-96Out0059541,681
6255-97Out039720,979
6154-98Out029810,741
6053-99Out02985,084
5952-100Out01992,390
5851-101Out00991,089
5750-102Out0100495
7-56Out100157,673*
Total:72.1%23105231175432211101,898,928,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs