Cleveland Indians Playoff Chances 2015-2

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 16.4%
3-5   .375

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Twins vs Indians-1.7+2.1
-0.3+0.3
Blue Jays vs Braves-0.1+0.2
Royals vs Athletics-0.1+0.1
Tigers vs White Sox-0.1+0.1
Rays vs Yankees-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Indians finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
110-156In100157,498*
109106-47In1000287
108105-48In100670
107104-49In9911,427
106103-50In10003,157
105102-51In100006,530
104101-52In990013,574
103100-53In990127,124
10299-54In990153,212
10198-55In980020100,257
10097-56In971030184,318
9996-57In951040329,531
9895-58100.0%9220600573,655
9794-59100.08830800971,883
9693-60100.0835012001,597,470
9592-61100.07680160002,555,826
9491-62100.067110211003,986,690
9390-63100.0561412820006,039,761
9289-64100.0441713430008,916,281
9188-6599.93219241600012,804,000
9087-6699.7212034610000017,889,345
8986-6799.0121854816100024,347,895
8885-6897.1614647243000032,256,262
8784-6992.72107413371000041,585,552
8683-7083.51563140142000052,211,860
8582-7168.0025194125610000063,832,330
8481-7247.10131033341530000075,964,041
8380-7326.000232036271020000088,055,724
8279-7410.80011927342171000099,364,550
8178-753.2000031430311751000109,179,154
8077-760.7000151831291330000116,877,133
7976-770.1000017213226112000121,787,869
7875-780.0000002102432228100123,619,183
7774-790.0000000313283118510122,158,579
7673-800.000000151731291430117,555,262
7572-810.00000001823342581110,146,112
7471-820.00000003133034173100,502,613
7370-830.00000016213629889,284,390
7269-84Out000021232381577,253,797
7168-85Out00001624432665,057,015
7067-86Out00000216433853,331,465
6966-87Out000019385142,540,939
6865-88Out00005316333,061,619
6764-89Out00002247324,992,062
6663-90Out0001178218,390,910
6562-91Out0000128813,157,726
6461-92Out0008929,168,171
6360-93Out005956,208,041
6259-94Out003974,096,534
6158-95Out002982,625,584
6057-96Out01991,637,455
5956-97Out0199993,549
5855-98Out00100586,647
5754-99Out00100335,412
5653-100Out0100186,794
5552-101Out0100100,865
5451-102Out010052,951
5350-103Out010026,830
5249-104Out010013,556
3-51Out100169,193*
Total:16.4%2115777888999991,898,928,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Twins vs Indians+0.5-0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
110-156100
109106-47991
108105-481000
107104-491000
106103-50991
105102-51991
104101-52991
103100-539820
10299-549730
10198-559550
10097-5693700
9996-578910000
9895-5884151000
9794-5977212000
9693-60672840000
9592-6156358100000
9491-62434014300000
9390-633041226100000
9289-641837291230000000
9188-659283320820000000
9087-66417292815510000000
8986-671820282412410010000
8885-6802102127221141030000
8784-690031020252010307100000
8683-700013918231992143000000
8582-7100002715201662282000000
8481-720000151217112518720000000
8380-730000131012172519931000000
8279-740000003761824211351000000
8178-750000031614232417931000000
8077-7600001014101824211362000000
7976-7700000002613212418104100000
7875-7800000000139172322157200000
7774-79000000000261321241911410000
7673-800000000013918242214620000
7572-81000000001271523241783000
7471-82000000026132225199300
7370-83000000001513232620920
7269-84000000151324282071
7168-8500000016162829174
7067-86000002820322810
6966-870000000312293719
6865-88000016224131
6764-89000003143944
6663-900000183457
6562-91000042768
6461-9200022078
6360-930011485
6259-940001090
6158-95000694
6057-9600496
5956-9700298
5855-980199
5754-990199
5653-1000199
5552-10100100
5451-1020100
5350-1030100
5249-1040100
5148-1050100
5047-1060100
3-49100
Total:111222222244444444444455555554