Philadelphia Eagles Playoff Chances 2015-1 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.01 to 26.8%
1-2-0   .333

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia vs Washington+9.9+2.4-9.9
+1.2+0.4-1.2
Dallas vs New Orleans-1.4*+0.7+1.4
-0.1+0.1+0.1
NY Giants vs Buffalo-1.0*+0.2+1.0
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Houston vs Atlanta+0.4*+0.4-0.4
Minnesota vs Denver-0.3*+0.6+0.3
Detroit vs Seattle+0.2*+0.3-0.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Oakland vs Chicago+0.2*-0.3-0.2
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Carolina vs Tampa Bay-0.1*+0.1+0.1
St. Louis vs Arizona-0.1*+0.8+0.1
Green Bay vs San Francisco+0.1*+0.7-0.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New Orleans vs Philadelphia-8.0+2.1+8.0
-1.1+0.4+1.1
New England vs Dallas+1.6*+0.4-1.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
San Francisco vs NY Giants+0.5+1.1-0.5
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Washington vs Atlanta-0.6*+0.3+0.6
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Seattle vs Cincinnati-0.3*+0.2+0.3
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Jacksonville vs Tampa Bay+0.3*-0.1-0.3
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Chicago vs Kansas City-0.2*-0.0+0.2
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Arizona vs Detroit-0.1*+0.0+0.1
St. Louis vs Green Bay-0.1*+0.4+0.1
-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Philadelphia finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1413-0-0In982008,587
13.512-0-1In98251
1312-1-0In891000068,998
12.511-1-1In831512641
1211-2-0In64304020409,717
10-1-2In3333333
11.510-2-1100.0%5237704003,583
1110-3-0100.02541203101001,500,796
9-2-2In294321714
10.59-3-1100.01437276142012,224
109-4-097.93183116201020003,749,612
8-3-2In228242417654
9.58-4-194.4082723191751027,276
98-5-066.30111249211910310006,753,049
7-4-277.611231725107467
8.57-5-142.403213152621920043,562
87-6-014.1001100392025201030008,999,553
6-5-215.612131219271693128
7.56-6-15.10500211242920810049,979
76-7-01.40100015142427187108,998,439
5-6-2Out1810223114931106
6.55-7-10.40015162929154043,193
65-8-00.10000031125332266,752,731
4-7-2Out38253229287
5.54-8-1Out0031534341326,910
54-9-00.0000041942353,753,179
3-8-2Out20433644
4.53-9-1Out019385212,095
43-10-0Out00324731,499,744
2-9-2Out89213
3.52-10-1Out114853,606
32-11-0Out00793409,424
2.51-11-1Out298658
21-12-0Out019968,082
0-11-2Out1001
1.50-12-1Out10042
10-13-0Out01008,600
Total:26.8%235845567788888843,204,848
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs Washington-2.3-0.1+2.3
St. Louis vs Arizona+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Detroit vs Seattle-0.1+0.0+0.1
Dallas vs New Orleans+0.1-0.1-0.1
Houston vs Atlanta+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Carolina vs Tampa Bay-0.0+0.1+0.0
Minnesota vs Denver+0.0-0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs Cincinnati+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Green Bay vs San Francisco-0.0*-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/8100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans vs Philadelphia+2.2-0.1-2.2
New England vs Dallas-0.1-0.0+0.1
San Francisco vs NY Giants+0.1-0.0-0.1
Buffalo vs Tennessee-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Jacksonville vs Tampa Bay+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Washington vs Atlanta+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Arizona vs Detroit-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1413-0-0962200
13.512-0-19442
1312-1-078111000000
12.511-1-170131512
1211-2-03925282400200
10-1-2333333
11.510-2-12626334700400
1110-3-0619261419130911000
9-2-214142914217
10.59-3-111218192536013120
109-4-0033141714142118912000
8-3-227209152221166
9.58-4-1007918194712143510
98-5-00011101311188131810410000
7-4-21121615716910101
8.57-5-100361503114111916831000
87-6-00001280003391416151285210000
6-5-2481341117131612542
7.56-6-100500000271522221672100
76-7-0001000000148131616151174200000
5-6-2112212151822167311
6.55-7-100015112025211241000
65-8-00000001381419201711510
4-7-2111161517201865
5.54-8-100141123292292
54-9-00000014122229239
3-8-25162727205
4.53-9-1016224130
43-10-00003133747
2-9-282369
3.52-10-1022276
32-11-00011584
2.51-11-1496
21-12-00397
0-11-2100
1.50-12-1100
10-13-00100
Total:11222344222343443344444444444443