Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleSemi-FinalChance will finish season at seedSerie B
PGW-L-EGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength
Flamengo3812-1-220YesYes1001.0No1.726Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Fluminense319-2-415NoYes1002.0+0.34No2.690Fluminense Football Club
Vasco da Gama298-2-520NoYes1003.0-0.24No3.774Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Cabofriense257-4-41NoYes+13.01004.0+0.04No4.510Associacao Desportiva Cabofriense
Boavista257-4-4-1NoNo-13.01005.0-0.05No5.480Boavista Sport Club
Friburguense216-6-3-9NoNo1006.0+1.79No8.365Friburguense Atletico Clube
Macae195-6-42NoNo1007.0+2.01No7.525Macae Esporte Futebol Clube
Volta Redonda195-6-4-1NoNo1008.0-1.38No9.477Volta Redonda Futebol Clube
Nova Iguacu194-4-71NoNo1009.0-0.61No6.511Nova Iguacu Futebol Clube
Botafogo174-6-5-1NoNo10010.0+0.77No11.476Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Bangu174-6-5-4NoNo10011.0-1.64No10.421Bangu Atletico Clube
Bonsucesso153-6-6-3NoNo10012.0-0.65No12.438Bonsucesso Futebol Clube
Resende153-6-6-4NoNo10013.0+0.86No-29.513.438Resende Futebol Clube
Madureira133-8-4-8NoNo10014.0-0.69No-10.214.376Madureira Esporte Clube
Audax Rio122-7-6-11NoNo10015.0-0.45Yes+37.915.322Audax Rio de Janeiro Esporte Clube
Duque de Caxias92-10-3-17NoNo10016.0-0.08Yes+1.816.268Duque de Caxias Futebol Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/8
Botafogo 0 Flamengo 2
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+5.4
Fluminense-4.3
CabofrienseNo
BotafogoNo
-0.7
Duque de Caxias 2 Fluminense 2
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+4.1
Fluminense-4.3
-0.3
Macae-0.3
Bonsucesso+0.8
Resende+0.8
Madureira-0.2
Duque de Caxias-0.9
Vasco da Gama 1 Bonsucesso 1
6:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da GamaNo
-0.4
-0.3
Boavista*No
Bonsucesso-3.6
Audax Rio+1.2
Duque de Caxias+1.6
Friburguense 1 Cabofriense 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
CabofrienseNo
-1.3
-0.3
FriburguenseNo
-0.0
Nova Iguacu 3 Audax Rio 3
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Macae-0.5
Nova IguacuNo
-0.6
Bonsucesso-0.2
Resende-0.2
Madureira-0.9
Audax Rio+1.8
Boavista 1 Volta Redonda 0
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Boavista+0.6
+1.4
Volta RedondaNo
-1.4
Bangu 1 Madureira 1
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
BanguNo
-0.5
Madureira-0.5
-0.4
Resende 3 Macae 2
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Macae+1.3
-1.4
Bonsucesso+2.7
Resende-19.1
+1.0
Audax Rio+6.7
Duque de Caxias+7.5
Week of 3/15
Audax Rio 2 Cabofriense 0
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cabofriense-11.9
-0.5
Boavista+11.8
Resende+15.5
-0.2
Madureira+7.4
Audax Rio-28.5
+0.9
Duque de Caxias+4.0
-0.4
Boavista 2 Botafogo 1
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama-0.2
Cabofriense-2.0
Boavista+2.2
+0.9
Botafogo-1.4
Fluminense 1 Vasco da Gama 1
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da GamaYes
-0.2
Macae 4 Duque de Caxias 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
MacaeNo
+1.4
Botafogo-0.2
Resende-9.4
Madureira-3.0
Audax Rio-1.2
Duque de Caxias+14.3
-0.4
Friburguense 1 Resende 0
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Friburguense+2.0
Bonsucesso-1.9
Resende+13.6
-1.2
Audax Rio-4.3
Duque de Caxias-6.3
Madureira 1 Bonsucesso 2
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bonsucesso-8.8
+1.5
Madureira+3.5
-1.4
Audax Rio+2.1
Duque de Caxias+2.1
Volta Redonda 3 Nova Iguacu 1
6:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Volta Redonda+1.9
Nova Iguacu-1.2
Flamengo 2 Bangu 2
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bangu+0.1
Week of 3/22
Boavista 1 Bangu 0
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cabofriense-18.1
-0.2
Boavista+18.1
+0.3
Friburguense+0.2
Macae+0.3
Nova Iguacu+0.3
Botafogo+0.6
Bangu-1.8
Flamengo 5 Cabofriense 3
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cabofriense-11.1
-0.2
Boavista+11.1
Audax Rio 0 Macae 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Friburguense-0.3
Macae+1.9
Volta Redonda-0.3
Nova Iguacu-0.5
Botafogo-0.3
Bangu-0.2
Resende-20.6
+0.2
MadureiraNo
Audax Rio+32.7
-0.5
Duque de Caxias-1.8
Madureira 0 Resende 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
ResendeNo
+1.0
Madureira+16.1
-1.0
Audax Rio+11.5
-0.2
Duque de CaxiasYes
Vasco da Gama 4 Duque de Caxias 0
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense-0.2
Vasco da Gama+0.2
Resende-1.5
Duque de CaxiasYes
Friburguense 2 Bonsucesso 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Friburguense+1.5
Volta Redonda-0.5
Nova Iguacu-0.5
Botafogo+0.5
Bonsucesso-1.4
Botafogo 1 Nova Iguacu 1
3:45 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Volta Redonda+0.5
Nova Iguacu-0.0
Botafogo-0.9
Fluminense 3 Volta Redonda 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Semi-Final100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense+0.3
Vasco da Gama-0.3
Macae+0.2
Volta Redonda-0.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.