National Football League Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Baltimore +75.0, San Diego -50.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPI
New England12-4-0.750155In1001.03New England Patriots
Seattle12-4-0.750140In1001.0+1.502Seattle Seahawks
Denver12-4-0.750128In1002.0+0.251Denver Broncos
Green Bay12-4-0.750138In1002.0+1.754Green Bay Packers
Dallas12-4-0.750115In1003.0-0.2511Dallas Cowboys
Pittsburgh11-5-0.68868In1003.0+1.0013Pittsburgh Steelers
Indianapolis11-5-0.68889In1004.08Indianapolis Colts
Carolina7-8-1.469-35In+50.01004.0+3.5020Carolina Panthers
Arizona11-5-0.68811In1005.0-0.885Arizona Cardinals
Cincinnati10-5-1.65621In1005.0-1.257Cincinnati Bengals
Detroit11-5-0.68839In1006.0-2.136Detroit Lions
Baltimore10-6-0.625107In+75.01006.0+1.7215Baltimore Ravens
Philadelphia10-6-0.62574Out1007.09Philadelphia Eagles
Houston9-7-0.56365Out-12.51007.0+1.2518Houston Texans
Kansas City9-7-0.56372Out-12.51008.0+0.5010Kansas City Chiefs
San Francisco8-8-0.500-34Out1008.016San Francisco 49ers
San Diego9-7-0.5630Out-50.01009.0-1.7514San Diego Chargers
New Orleans7-9-0.438-23Out1009.0+1.4721New Orleans Saints
Buffalo9-7-0.56354Out10010.0+0.1912Buffalo Bills
Minnesota7-9-0.438-18Out10010.0+0.7524Minnesota Vikings
Miami8-8-0.50015Out10011.0-1.7217Miami Dolphins
NY Giants6-10-0.375-20Out10011.0+0.4122New York Giants
Cleveland7-9-0.438-38Out10012.0-0.1923Cleveland Browns
Atlanta6-10-0.375-36Out-50.010012.0-4.2826Atlanta Falcons
St. Louis6-10-0.375-30Out10013.0-1.0019St. Louis Rams
NY Jets4-12-0.250-118Out10013.0+0.5027New York Jets
Chicago5-11-0.313-123Out10014.0-0.8425Chicago Bears
Jacksonville3-13-0.188-163Out10014.0+0.2530Jacksonville Jaguars
Washington4-12-0.250-137Out10015.029Washington Redskins
Oakland3-13-0.188-199Out10015.0-0.2528Oakland Raiders
Tampa Bay2-14-0.125-133Out10016.032Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tennessee2-14-0.125-184Out10016.0-0.5031Tennessee Titans

We use the real NFL tiebreakers, except for net touchdowns (the last).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/11
Philadelphia 27 Dallas 38
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Green Bay-3.2
Dallas+30.5
+1.4
Arizona*In
Philadelphia-29.4
-1.3
Atlanta 20 Pittsburgh 27
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh+14.1
+0.9
Carolina+5.5
+0.5
New Orleans+9.4
+0.6
Atlanta-14.8
-1.4
Baltimore 20 Jacksonville 12
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Baltimore+20.0
+1.2
San Diego 10 Denver 22
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
DenverIn
+0.4
Cincinnati+3.4
Baltimore+7.8
+0.2
San Diego-19.7
-1.0
Cleveland 0 Cincinnati 30
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati+17.2
+1.2
Cleveland-11.2
-1.2
Seattle 17 San Francisco 7
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle+16.3
+0.9
Dallas-4.2
San Francisco-11.8
-0.6
Indianapolis 17 Houston 10
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
IndianapolisIn
+0.7
Houston-17.1
-1.3
Chicago 15 New Orleans 31
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina-12.5
-0.8
New Orleans+15.6
+1.8
Chicago-1.1
New England 41 Miami 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New EnglandIn
+0.5
Miami-12.8
-1.2
Carolina 19 Tampa Bay 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina+11.7
+1.5
New Orleans-4.7
-0.4
Atlanta-7.0
-0.6
Detroit 16 Minnesota 14
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle-3.7
Dallas-2.9
Detroit+10.6
+0.7
Kansas City 31 Oakland 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Kansas City+9.9
+1.0
Buffalo 21 Green Bay 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Green Bay-3.9
-0.6
Buffalo+3.9
+0.8
St. Louis 6 Arizona 12
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Arizona+2.7
+0.7
MinnesotaOut
+0.2
St. LouisOut
-0.7
NY Giants 24 Washington 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Giants+1.0
Tennessee 11 NY Jets 16
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Jets+0.7
Tennessee-0.7
Week of 12/18
New Orleans 14 Atlanta 30
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina+12.5
+0.7
New Orleans-37.5
-2.7
Atlanta+25.0
+2.6
Pittsburgh 20 Kansas City 12
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
PittsburghIn
+1.2
Cincinnati+3.9
Baltimore-3.1
Kansas City-23.8
-1.1
MiamiOut
Houston 25 Baltimore 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Baltimore-25.0
-1.1
Houston+4.7
+1.1
Kansas City+4.7
San Diego+9.4
Washington 27 Philadelphia 24
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Green Bay+8.0
Dallas+6.9
+0.6
DetroitIn
Philadelphia-22.7
-0.9
San Francisco 35 San Diego 38
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati-4.0
Baltimore-6.3
-0.2
San Diego+16.3
+1.0
Carolina 17 Cleveland 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina+12.5
+1.6
New Orleans-12.5
-0.7
Dallas 42 Indianapolis 7
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SeattleIn
DallasIn
+0.5
PhiladelphiaOut
-0.5
Oakland 26 Buffalo 24
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
BuffaloOut
-1.2
Cincinnati 37 Denver 28
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CincinnatiIn
+0.5
Baltimore-6.2
Tampa Bay 3 Green Bay 20
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Green BayIn
+0.7
Chicago 14 Detroit 20
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chicago-1.0
Arizona 6 Seattle 35
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle+1.5
Arizona-1.6
St. Louis 27 NY Giants 37
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Giants+1.1
St. Louis-1.4
Miami 37 Minnesota 35
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Minnesota-0.8
Miami+0.6
Week of 12/28
Kansas City 19 San Diego 7
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Baltimore+25.0
Houston+12.5
Kansas City+12.5
+1.5
San DiegoOut
-1.3
Atlanta 3 Carolina 34
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CarolinaIn
+3.7
AtlantaOut
-4.2
Baltimore 20 Cleveland 10
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Baltimore+25.0
+1.2
HoustonOut
-0.2
Kansas CityOut
-0.2
Houston 23 Jacksonville 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston+12.5
+1.3
Kansas CityOut
-0.3
Jacksonville-0.8
Seattle 20 St. Louis 6
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle+1.5
Arizona-0.9
St. Louis-1.0
Green Bay 30 Detroit 20
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Green Bay+2.2
Detroit-2.1
Tampa Bay 20 New Orleans 23
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New Orleans+1.5
Miami 24 NY Jets 37
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Miami-1.2
NY Giants 26 Philadelphia 34
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Giants-1.4
Minnesota 13 Chicago 9
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Minnesota+1.3
Chicago-0.8
New England 9 Buffalo 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Buffalo+1.2
Pittsburgh 27 Cincinnati 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh+1.0
Cincinnati-1.0
San Francisco 20 Arizona 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Arizona-0.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Adam Veenendaal for adding this league.