"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

National Football Conference Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Carolina +50.0, Atlanta -50.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPI
Seattle12-4-0.750140In1001.0+1.502Seattle Seahawks
Green Bay12-4-0.750138In1002.0+1.754Green Bay Packers
Dallas12-4-0.750115In1003.0-0.2511Dallas Cowboys
Carolina7-8-1.469-35In+50.01004.0+3.5020Carolina Panthers
Arizona11-5-0.68811In1005.0-0.885Arizona Cardinals
Detroit11-5-0.68839In1006.0-2.136Detroit Lions
Philadelphia10-6-0.62574Out1007.09Philadelphia Eagles
San Francisco8-8-0.500-34Out1008.016San Francisco 49ers
New Orleans7-9-0.438-23Out1009.0+1.4721New Orleans Saints
Minnesota7-9-0.438-18Out10010.0+0.7524Minnesota Vikings
NY Giants6-10-0.375-20Out10011.0+0.4122New York Giants
Atlanta6-10-0.375-36Out-50.010012.0-4.2826Atlanta Falcons
St. Louis6-10-0.375-30Out10013.0-1.0019St. Louis Rams
Chicago5-11-0.313-123Out10014.0-0.8425Chicago Bears
Washington4-12-0.250-137Out10015.029Washington Redskins
Tampa Bay2-14-0.125-133Out10016.032Tampa Bay Buccaneers

We use the real NFL tiebreakers, except for net touchdowns (the last).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/11
Philadelphia 27 Dallas 38
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle+2.0
Green Bay-3.2
Dallas+30.5
+1.4
Arizona*In
Philadelphia-29.4
-1.3
Seattle 17 San Francisco 7
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle+16.3
+0.9
Green Bay+0.8
Dallas-4.2
Arizona-0.4
Detroit+0.7
Philadelphia-1.8
San Francisco-11.8
-0.6
Chicago 15 New Orleans 31
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina-12.5
-0.8
New Orleans+15.6
+1.8
Atlanta-3.1
-0.3
Chicago-1.1
Atlanta 20 Pittsburgh 27
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina+5.5
+0.5
New Orleans+9.4
+0.6
Atlanta-14.8
-1.4
Carolina 19 Tampa Bay 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina+11.7
+1.5
New Orleans-4.7
-0.4
Atlanta-7.0
-0.6
Tampa Bay-0.3
Detroit 16 Minnesota 14
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle-3.7
Green Bay-0.4
Dallas-2.9
Detroit+10.6
+0.7
Philadelphia-2.5
San Francisco-1.3
Minnesota-0.6
Buffalo 21 Green Bay 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle+2.2
Green Bay-3.9
-0.6
Detroit+0.4
St. Louis 6 Arizona 12
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle-1.2
-0.4
Arizona+2.7
+0.7
MinnesotaOut
+0.2
St. LouisOut
-0.7
NY Giants 24 Washington 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Giants+1.0
Washington-0.6
Week of 12/18
New Orleans 14 Atlanta 30
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina+12.5
+0.7
New Orleans-37.5
-2.7
NY Giants-0.2
Atlanta+25.0
+2.6
Chicago-0.3
Washington 27 Philadelphia 24
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle+3.1
Green Bay+8.0
Dallas+6.9
+0.6
DetroitIn
Philadelphia-22.7
-0.9
Carolina 17 Cleveland 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina+12.5
+1.6
New Orleans-12.5
-0.7
NY Giants-0.2
Chicago-0.2
Dallas 42 Indianapolis 7
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SeattleIn
DallasIn
+0.5
PhiladelphiaOut
-0.5
Tampa Bay 3 Green Bay 20
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Green BayIn
+0.7
Dallas-2.3
Detroit-0.4
Chicago 14 Detroit 20
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Green Bay-0.4
Detroit+0.6
NY Giants+0.2
Chicago-1.0
Arizona 6 Seattle 35
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle+1.5
Arizona-1.6
St. Louis 27 NY Giants 37
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Giants+1.1
St. Louis-1.4
Miami 37 Minnesota 35
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Minnesota-0.8
San Francisco 35 San Diego 38
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
San Francisco-0.3
Week of 12/28
Atlanta 3 Carolina 34
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CarolinaIn
+3.7
NY Giants+0.5
AtlantaOut
-4.2
Seattle 20 St. Louis 6
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle+1.5
Green Bay-0.2
Dallas-0.3
Carolina+0.2
Arizona-0.9
NY Giants+0.5
Atlanta+0.3
St. Louis-1.0
Green Bay 30 Detroit 20
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Green Bay+2.2
Detroit-2.1
Tampa Bay 20 New Orleans 23
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina-0.2
New Orleans+1.5
Minnesota-0.6
NY Giants-0.2
Atlanta-0.5
St. Louis-0.3
Chicago+0.3
NY Giants 26 Philadelphia 34
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina+0.2
New Orleans+0.2
Minnesota+0.3
NY Giants-1.4
St. Louis+0.3
Chicago+0.2
Minnesota 13 Chicago 9
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina-0.2
Minnesota+1.3
Chicago-0.8
San Francisco 20 Arizona 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle+0.5
Dallas+0.2
Arizona-0.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.