National Football Conference Playoff Chances 2014

Carolina +66.3, Atlanta -66.3
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Seattle12-4-0.750140In1001.0+0.652.740Seattle Seahawks
Green Bay12-4-0.750138In1002.0+1.244.703Green Bay Packers
Dallas12-4-0.750115In1003.0-0.1011.674Dallas Cowboys
Carolina7-8-1.469-35In+66.31004.0+4.6320.439Carolina Panthers
Arizona11-5-0.68811In1005.0-0.385.522Arizona Cardinals
Detroit11-5-0.68839In1006.0-1.416.577Detroit Lions
Philadelphia10-6-0.62574Out1007.09.610Philadelphia Eagles
San Francisco8-8-0.500-34Out1008.016.436San Francisco 49ers
New Orleans7-9-0.438-23Out-0.01009.0+0.9621.464New Orleans Saints
Minnesota7-9-0.438-18Out10010.0+0.3024.467Minnesota Vikings
NY Giants6-10-0.375-20Out10011.0+0.4822.467New York Giants
Atlanta6-10-0.375-36Out-66.310012.0-5.5226.442Atlanta Falcons
St. Louis6-10-0.375-30Out10013.0-0.2419.445St. Louis Rams
Chicago5-11-0.313-123Out10014.0-0.6025.306Chicago Bears
Washington4-12-0.250-137Out10015.029.282Washington Redskins
Tampa Bay2-14-0.125-133Out10016.032.278Tampa Bay Buccaneers

We use the real NFL tiebreakers, except for net touchdowns (the last).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/11
Philadelphia 27 Dallas 38
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle+1.5
Green Bay-4.7
Dallas+37.3
+1.6
Arizona*In
Detroit-1.2
Philadelphia-32.8
-1.5
Atlanta 20 Pittsburgh 27
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina+3.1
+0.3
New Orleans+10.3
+0.6
Atlanta-13.4
-1.3
Chicago 15 New Orleans 31
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina-9.2
-0.5
New Orleans+12.4
+1.4
Atlanta-3.2
-0.3
Chicago-0.9
Detroit 16 Minnesota 14
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle-2.4
Green Bay-0.3
-0.2
Dallas-4.3
Detroit+9.0
+0.4
Philadelphia-1.7
Minnesota-0.3
Seattle 17 San Francisco 7
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle+7.6
+0.5
Dallas-3.9
Arizona-0.2
Philadelphia-0.7
San Francisco-2.9
-0.2
Carolina 19 Tampa Bay 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina+5.1
+0.8
New Orleans-2.1
-0.2
Atlanta-3.0
-0.3
Tampa Bay-0.2
St. Louis 6 Arizona 12
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle-0.7
-0.3
Dallas-1.3
Arizona+3.0
+0.6
Philadelphia-0.4
San Francisco-0.4
MinnesotaOut
+0.2
St. LouisOut
-0.7
Buffalo 21 Green Bay 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle+1.3
Green Bay-2.1
-0.6
Dallas+0.5
Detroit+0.3
NY Giants 24 Washington 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Giants+0.5
Washington-0.3
Week of 12/18
New Orleans 14 Atlanta 30
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina+10.2
+0.4
New Orleans-48.7
-3.1
NY Giants-0.3
Atlanta+38.5
+3.5
St. Louis-0.2
Chicago-0.3
Washington 27 Philadelphia 24
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle+3.7
Green Bay+8.4
Dallas+13.1
+0.9
DetroitIn
Philadelphia-32.1
-1.2
Washington+0.2
Tampa Bay-0.2
Dallas 42 Indianapolis 7
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SeattleIn
DallasIn
+0.3
PhiladelphiaOut
-0.3
Carolina 17 Cleveland 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina+8.6
+1.4
New Orleans-8.6
-0.5
Minnesota-0.2
NY Giants-0.2
Atlanta-0.2
St. Louis-0.2
Chicago-0.2
Tampa Bay 3 Green Bay 20
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Green BayIn
+0.4
Dallas-0.5
Detroit-0.3
Chicago 14 Detroit 20
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Detroit+0.2
Chicago-0.5
St. Louis 27 NY Giants 37
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Minnesota+0.2
NY Giants+1.3
St. Louis-1.7
Chicago-0.2
Arizona 6 Seattle 35
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle+1.6
Arizona-1.6
Miami 37 Minnesota 35
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
San Francisco+0.2
New Orleans+0.2
Minnesota-0.6
San Francisco 35 San Diego 38
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
San Francisco-0.2
Week of 12/28
Atlanta 3 Carolina 34
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CarolinaIn
+4.8
NY Giants+0.7
AtlantaOut
-5.4
Green Bay 30 Detroit 20
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Green Bay+1.5
Detroit-1.4
Seattle 20 St. Louis 6
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle+0.7
Arizona-0.4
NY Giants+0.2
St. Louis-0.4
Tampa Bay 20 New Orleans 23
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina-0.2
New Orleans+1.0
Minnesota-0.5
Atlanta-0.2
Minnesota 13 Chicago 9
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina-0.2
Minnesota+0.7
St. Louis+0.2
Chicago-0.6
NY Giants 26 Philadelphia 34
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina+0.3
New Orleans+0.2
NY Giants-0.9
San Francisco 20 Arizona 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle+0.2
Arizona-0.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.