Colorado Rockies Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Tied with Padres 0-0 (Bot 5th), playoff odds unchanged at 0.008%

46-73 .387

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Giants 5 Rockies 4	-3.1		-0.3
Padres 5 Tigers 1	-0.4

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Padres 5 Rockies 4	-2.9		-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Rockies finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

89		43	-	0	In		29	45	8	17	1											100
82		36	-	7	50.0	%			50				50									2
81		35	-	8	Out							9	48	26	17							23
80		34	-	9	1.4						1	6	23	30	32	8						71
79		33	-	10	Out							0	6	24	34	29	6	0				274
78		32	-	11	Out								1	7	26	41	20	6	0			832
77		31	-	12	Out								0	1	9	31	38	17	3	0		2,069
76		30	-	13	Out									0	2	15	36	34	11	1	0	5,027
75		29	-	14	Out										0	4	22	41	26	6	0	10,823
74		28	-	15	Out										0	1	8	33	39	17	2	20,680
73		27	-	16	Out											0	2	19	40	31	8	36,274
72		26	-	17	Out											0	0	8	31	43	18	57,761
71		25	-	18	Out												0	3	18	45	34	83,274
70		24	-	19	Out												0	1	9	38	52	109,534
69		23	-	20	Out												0	0	3	27	69	131,192
68		22	-	21	Out													0	1	17	82	144,173
67		21	-	22	Out													0	0	9	91	143,881
66		20	-	23	Out														0	4	96	131,547
65		19	-	24	Out														0	2	98	110,625
64		18	-	25	Out															1	99	83,496
63		17	-	26	Out															0	100	57,914
62		16	-	27	Out															0	100	36,277
61		15	-	28	Out															0	100	21,025
60		14	-	29	Out															0	100	10,814
59		13	-	30	Out															0	100	4,976
58		12	-	31	Out															0	100	2,019
46	-57				Out																100	1,317	*

Total:					0.0	%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	17	74	1,206,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Giants 5 Rockies 4	+0.7

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Padres 5 Rockies 4	+0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

89		43	-	0		4	14	23	32	17	6	4
82		36	-	7										50					50
81		35	-	8													13	4	22	35	22	4
80		34	-	9										1				1	14	34	18	14	10	6	1
79		33	-	10															1	6	15	27	28	15	6	2
78		32	-	11																0	3	9	23	29	21	10	3	1
77		31	-	12																	0	1	6	19	28	24	16	5	1	0
76		30	-	13																		0	1	5	14	25	28	19	7	1	0
75		29	-	14																			0	0	3	12	23	30	21	9	2	0
74		28	-	15																				0	0	2	10	23	30	23	9	2	0
73		27	-	16																					0	0	2	10	24	32	23	8	1	0
72		26	-	17																						0	0	2	11	26	34	21	5	0
71		25	-	18																						0	0	0	3	13	31	35	16	2
70		24	-	19																							0	0	0	4	19	39	31	6
69		23	-	20																								0	0	1	8	31	45	15
68		22	-	21																									0	0	2	18	50	29
67		21	-	22																										0	1	9	46	45
66		20	-	23																											0	3	35	62
65		19	-	24																											0	1	23	76
64		18	-	25																											0	0	14	86
63		17	-	26																												0	8	92
62		16	-	27																												0	4	96
61		15	-	28																													2	98
60		14	-	29																													1	99
59		13	-	30																													0	100
58		12	-	31																													0	100
57		11	-	32																													0	100
46	-56																																	100

Total:						0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	8	14	28	41